Amedeus Mastrangelo - Boca Juniors vs Corinthians

AMEDEUS' COPA LIBERTADORES SAUCY SET-PIECE!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
SOCCER
Competition
Boca Juniors vs Corinthians
Time
07/05/2022 08:30 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Boca Juniors +100 (DraftKings)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
Boca Juniors is coming into this match not playing in the best form recently with 2 losses in their last 3 matches and no wins in that span either. They are not a bad team though as they are one of the better teams in Argentina, they have lost their last 2 matches at home as well but both of those matches were before an important Libertadores match for them, one loss coming before the 1st leg and the other in their last match right before this 2nd leg. They were likely not focused as much on those matches as this is the desired competition for them to win and they played very well in the 1st leg against Corinthians. Corinthians had a chance to score with a penalty in that 1st leg but it was stopped by the keeper and other than that one chance, the stats were pretty even in that match with Corinthians only having a slight advantage. Boca Juniors has still been a much better team at home that will play better in this match and even prior to losing their last 2 matches at home, they won 7 of their last 8 matches with only 1 draw in that span. They have been a great team at home and they are going up against a Corinthians side that has not been in good form recently. They have not won a match in their last 3 and are coming off of a loss in their last match, losing 4-0 away from home to Fluminense. Corinthians was likely focusing on this competition as well so their last few league matches have been slip ups but they have also had a problem scoring goals recently and that problem is going to pop up here for sure. Corinthians have not scored a goal in their last 3 straight matches, they have been great on defense with 2 clean sheets in those 3 matches but they have also allowed 4 goals in their last match and they have not been great away from home recently. When playing away from home, they have lost 2 of their last 3 matches with no wins in that span and have only scored 1 goal in those 3 matches while allowing 6 goals. As good as their defense has been recently it has been a lot better at home than away from home and if they are going to struggle to score goals here, then they have no shot of winning this match and advancing in Argentina. Boca Juniors will play great defense here to keep an already weak attack of the Corinthians from scoring and Boca will be pressing their attack all match here at home to get that 1 winner. Boca Juniors will win this match and advance to the next round of the competition.

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