*10* TOTAL POWER (+$10,584 YTD w/ MLB TOTALS)
- Handicapper
- Power Sports
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros
- Time
- 08/25/2021 02:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros Under 8.5 (-115)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- 10* Under Royals/Astros (2:10 ET): Houston has had its fair share of difficulty beating Kansas City. The teams have met six times this month and it’s the Royals with the surprising 4-2 head to head advantage. But last night was a 4-0 shutout for the Astros, thanks to a superb outing from Luis Garcia. The Royals’ offense had been surging in recent days, but could only manage four hits against Garcia and four Astros’ relievers. I’m not shocked that it happened. For the season, KC is averaging just 3.7 runs per game on the road. So they were “due” to come back down to Earth. Look for the offensive regression to continue here.
Houston has the highest runs per game average in baseball (5.4) but they have scored just eight times in the previous three games. Three of their four runs last night came in the first inning. Kansas City pitching has been pretty good of late. Only once in the last eight games have they allowed more than four runs. Mike Minor is set to start Wednesday afternoon and he allowed just three runs in 5 ⅔ IP when he faced the Astros last Thursday. The Under is 5-0-1 in Minor’s last six starts.
Houston holds teams to 3.9 rpg and a .218 batting average here at home. Those numbers are obviously very good. Lance McCullers gets the starting nod today. He now has 10 wins on the year and has gone 7-3 over his L11 starts. He did not face the Royals in last week’s series. But he did hold Seattle to only two runs in his most recent start. There have been only four times all year where McCullers has allowed more than 3 ER. Assuming Houston is up, they won’t have to bat in the bottom of the ninth. 10* Under Royals/Astros