25* MLB ESPN TUESDAY TOTAL OF THE YEAR
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners
- Time
- 07/06/2021 10:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Over 9.5 (+100)
(5D Reduced Juice)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Our 25* MLB ESPN Tuesday Total of the Year is with the New York Yankees/Seattle over at 10:10 pm et.
The Yankees ended their three-game losing streak on Sunday with a 4-2 win against the New York Mets. New York made the most of their opportunities in that game since they left only two runners on base. They have played eight of their last ten games over the number after not stranding more than three runners in their last game. The Yankees have played 5 straight overs after getting time off with an off-day. They begin a six-game road trip out west, and they have played five of their last seven games on the road over the number when favored. The over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games when the oddsmakers install the over/under in the 9 to 10.5 range. They face a slumping starting pitcher in Justus Sheffield. The left-hander allowed four runs in four innings of work in his last start at Toronto last Wednesday. Sheffield has allowed 18 runs in his last four starts spanning 17 1/3 innings. He had a 4.77 era after his first start in June, but carrying a 9.36 era in his last four starts raised his erato 5.88. He has a 5-7 record in his 14 starts with a 1.71 whip. Seattle has played four of their last six games at home over the number with Sheffield pitching in games where the oddsmakers place the over/under in the 9 to 10.5 range. The Yankees have played seven of their last nine games over the total against left-handed starting pitchers, and the over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games against starting pitchers with a whip of 1.30 or higher. New York is averaging 5.1 runs per game in their last seven games.
Seattle got yesterday off after a 4-1 win against Texas. That victory was their fourth win in their last five games. The Mariners have played five of their last eight games over the number after giving up no more than one run in their last game. Seattle has played six of their last eight games over the total after a day off, and they have played four of their last five games over the number in the opening game of a new series. They are averaging 5.1 runs per game in their last seven games with a rise in their batting average and slugging percentage. The Mariners are hitting only .219 on the season with a .383 slugging percentage, yet they have a .238 batting average and a .421 slugging percentage in their last seven games. They should continue to improve those numbers against the Yankees’ James Taillon. The right-hander has a 3-4 record with a 5.43 era and a 1.36 whip in his 15 starts. On the road in five starts, Taillon has an 11.12 era and a 2.12 whip. Opposing hitters are hitting .385 against him on the road. He is giving up too many gopher balls after the Angels socked three homers against him in his last start last Tuesday. Taillon has given up 14 home runs in 69 2/3 innings for a 1.81 home runs per nine innings rate. The Yankees have played five straight overs with Taillon starting on the road in games where they are favored, including all four of those circumstances this season. The Yankees’ bullpen has not been much help lately with Aroldis Chapman mired in a slump. In their last seven games, the New York bullpen has a 7.36 era and a 1.50 whip. Take the over.
Good luck - Team Del Genio.
