Amedeus Mastrangelo - Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers

AMEDEUS' NBA PLAYOFFS PICK AND ROLL THE BOOKS

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
NBA
Competition
Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers
Release Date
04/26/2025 11:22 AM
Event Date
04/26/2025 06:15 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers Under 212.5 (-108) (DraftKings)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
The Nuggets are coming into this game down 2-1 in the series and their offense has been struggling a lot in this series. They won the 1st game 112-110 in OT, but they only scored 98 points in regulation and they have not scored more than 102 points in the other 2 games. They are coming off of an awful 117-83 loss in the last game which was their 1st road game of this series, only scoring 83 points, and the games in this series have been lower in score. They have stayed under 210 points in each of their last 2 games and all 3 games in this series would have stayed under 210 points if game 1 did not go to overtime. The Nuggets have had no answer for the Clippers in the last 2 games and they do not want to go back home down 3-1 in the series so they are going to get up for this game and tighten up on defense to keep this Clippers team at bay. The Clippers have been one of the better defensive teams in the league all season so the Nuggets are not going to score easily in this game, and they have ramped up their defense ever since Kawhi came back to the lineup. The Clippers have been much better at home this season at 30-11 so they are going to control the pace in this game like they did in game 3 and they will not allow the Nuggets to pull away or run up the score here. The Clippers have also been much better defensively at home as they only gave up 83 points in the last game and have held opponents under 105 points in 4 of their last 6 games there. This is going to be a low scoring and more defensive game that stays under the total.

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