Sean's NBA TOTAL DOMINATOR! 30-22/302-255 RUN
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors
- Release Date
- 04/26/2025 10:24 AM
- Event Date
- 04/26/2025 08:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Under 204.5 (-110)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Golden State at 8:30 pm et on Saturday.
While both teams boast plenty of offensive weapons, this series — and this matchup overall — continues to trend 'under.' We've now seen six straight meetings between the Rockets and Warriors stay below the total, including each of the first two games of this playoff series.
Golden State has made a concerted effort to control the tempo, limiting Houston to just 76 and 80 field goal attempts in Games 1 and 2. That’s critical, as the Rockets thrive in a faster-paced game and haven’t been able to get into their offensive rhythm.
On the other side, the Warriors themselves have been mired in an offensive slump for weeks. They've been held to fewer than 40 made field goals in three straight games and 12 of their last 17 overall. Furthermore, Golden State hasn’t even topped 86 field goal attempts in a single game since April 8th — a span of six contests where they've recorded a 2-4 o/u mark.
With both teams struggling to find offensive flow and the Warriors imposing a slower pace, another 'under' looks likely.
Take the 'under.' Projected score: Warriors 101, Rockets 97.