TOM'S 17-0 ATS NBA PLAYOFF PERFECT PLAY
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors
- Release Date
- 04/26/2025 10:13 AM
- Event Date
- 04/26/2025 08:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Golden State Warriors -3 (-110)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #568 GOLDEN ST (-) over Houston at 8:30 PM EST
After getting hammered 109-94 in game two, the Warriors will return home with or without the services of Jimmy Butler (glute muscle contusion) and hold serve on their home court. Houston has stuttered down the stretch posting a 1-4 SU and ATS record in its last five games and head coach Ime Udoka and his players will have issues inside the Chase Center.
This is actually a strong wagering spot for the home team. When coming off a straight up loss in the playoffs, Golden State has historically bounced back in a big way posting an elite 40-20 SU and 41-18-1 ATS record in its next game. In this situation competing against an opponent that carries a pointspread won/loss percentage of .522 or higher, this technical situation tightens up to a phenomenal 20-6 SU and 22-4 ATS including a lucrative 18-2 SU and 19-1 ATS provided the Warriors own a team won/loss percentage of .540 or higher. With those three parameters in play and head coach Steve Kerr and his crew storming the court off exactly one straight up loss, this technical situation skyrockets to a golden 17-0 ATS.
Holding a timid 6-11 SU and 7-10 ATS record, the road hasn't been kind to the Rockets in their last 17 games. Even worse, when priced as a competitive underdog of +5 or less, Houston has struggled in a big way notching a rough 35-64 SU and 39-59-1 ATS mark in its last 99 battles. In this situation holding a team won/loss percentage of .500 or better, Coach Udoka and his boys fall to an ugly 6-21 SU and 8-19 ATS. Finally, on a foreign court checking in off a blowout home win of 15 points or more, the Rockets have imploded notching a stiff 10-19 ATS tally in their last 29 wars.
Coach Kerr is a battle-tested playoff veteran and he will make the adjustments needed to ensure the Warriors come out on top. Take Golden State. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
