TOM'S 62-24 ATS NBA PLAYOFF ELITE INVESTMENT
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers
- Release Date
- 04/26/2025 10:13 AM
- Event Date
- 04/26/2025 06:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Denver Nuggets +6.5 (-110)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #565 DENVER (+) over LA Clippers at 6 PM EST
Checking in off a pair of SU and ATS losses in game two and three, the Nuggets will be sure to bring their best to this critical showdown. Los Angeles is in position to take a massive 3-1 advantage in this best-of-seven battle and interim Denver skipper David Adelman can't let that happen.
Technically speaking, this is a highly profitable wagering spot for the visitors. When coming off two or more straight up losses, the Nuggets have responded by posting a proud 84-37 SU and 72-45-5 ATS record in their next game. In this situation priced competitively between -2 and +6.5 points, Denver improves to an outstanding 30-14 SU and 31-12-1 ATS in its last 44 tries. Also, in the NBA Playoffs, game four squads in any series that take the floor off exactly two straight up losses own a stunning 15-3-1 ATS mark provided they slipped by 15 points or more in their last beating. If this is a non-division battle, our "play on" side improves to a nearly perfect 11-1-1 ATS. That bodes well for the Nuggets.
Respect is certainly given to an LA team that is in the middle of a powerful 20-4 SU and 18-6 ATS run. However, in postseason play, NBA teams that hit the hardwood off two or more ATS victories in the playoffs hold a stiff 64-95-3 ATS record provided they were victorious by 15 points or more last and their opponent carries a team won/loss percentage of .501 or higher. If our "play against" side is lined up against a foe that sports a team won/loss percentage greater than .595, this technical situation crashes to a shocking 28-66-2 ATS including a nasty 24-62-2 ATS provided this is a conference game. That spells trouble for the Clips.
After committing 16 turnovers and being held to a season-low 83 points, the Nuggets will regroup and respond in a big way. Take Denver. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
