Sean Murphy - Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Sean's MLB SATURDAY RUN-LINE ROUT! 78-55 RUN!

Handicapper
Sean Murphy
League
MLB
Competition
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Release Date
04/26/2025 08:06 AM
Event Date
04/26/2025 09:10 PM
Bet Type
Run Line
Pick
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125) (DraftKings)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
My selection is on Los Angeles -1.5 runs over Pittsburgh at 9:10 pm et on Saturday. The Dodgers find themselves in an unfamiliar spot — trailing in the N.L. West and mired in a rare slump with losses in four of their last five games. However, Saturday presents a strong opportunity to get back on track. Mitch Keller will toe the rubber for the Pirates and while he's a capable arm, he's consistently allowed traffic on the basepaths this season, posting a 3.92 FIP and 1.36 WHIP across 28 innings. His career numbers against the Dodgers are concerning as well, with current L.A. hitters batting .287 with a robust .892 OPS against him, including four different players having already taken him deep. Roki Sasaki gets the start for Los Angeles and seems to be finding his rhythm, coming off a sharp outing against a tough Texas lineup where he allowed just two earned runs on two hits over six innings (needing only 78 pitches to do so). Facing a Pirates offense that's cooled off over the last couple of games should help him continue to build confidence. Importantly, the Dodgers also hold a significant edge in the bullpen, with a top-five ranking in xFIP compared to the Pirates' 19th. Expect L.A.'s lineup to finally break out against Keller and for Sasaki and the bullpen to hold the Bucco bats in check. Take Los Angeles -1.5 runs. Projected score: Dodgers 6, Pirates 2.

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