Fargo's MLB Late Double Play Sweeper
- Handicapper
- Matt Fargo
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- Release Date
- 04/26/2025 07:25 AM
- Event Date
- 04/26/2025 08:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Atlanta Braves +106
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES as part of our MLB Late Double Play Sweeper. After opening the season 0-7 and then not being able to put together any sort of run, the Braves have won six of their last seven games and we have to jump on board at the + price after being favored in their last games. The offense remains middle of the road overall but Atlanta has averaged 5.6 rpg over this seven-game stretch after scoring more than four runs only seven times in their first 18 games and they have a chance to keep the offense rolling. Now it will be up to Grant Holmes to keep them in games and he has done just that with a 2.08 ERA over his last three starts as he has escaped trouble with a poor walk rate. His .271 wOBA indicates this as it is based on quality and amount of contact and not outcomes. Arizona has lost three straight games and its pitching is creeping further down, now No. 24 in team ERA and are hoping Merrill Kelly can continue his recent success as well. He has a 2.04 ERA over his last three outings after getting shelled by the Yankees and he will be popular at this short price. Despite the recent stretch, his xERA of 5.19 is the concern as his lack of initiating contact will not last especially against an offense starting to find its groove. 10* (909) Atlanta Braves