Sean's NHL SATURDAY SLAPSHOT! 350-244 RUN!
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- NHL
- Competition
- Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche
- Release Date
- 04/26/2025 07:10 AM
- Event Date
- 04/26/2025 09:55 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Colorado Avalanche -174
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- My selection is on Colorado over Dallas at 9:30 pm et on Saturday.
While the Avalanche are being asked to lay a fairly steep price in Game 4 (it has come down a bit), I believe there’s still value on their side as they look to bounce back from a disappointing loss in Game 3. Colorado likely underestimated the Stars’ urgency and failed to match their intensity on Wednesday night. That shouldn’t be an issue on Saturday with the Avs now trailing in the series and fully aware that they need a response on home ice.
Colorado has been one of the NHL’s most formidable home teams all season, entering this matchup with a 26-12-4 record at Ball Arena, where they’ve outscored opponents by an average of 0.7 goals per game. They're also a resilient group, having not dropped three straight games since a brief skid in late January.
This is a prime bounce-back spot for a team that knows how to respond in these moments. With the stakes now raised and home ice still in their favor, expect the Avs to come out fast and focused.
Take Colorado. Projected score: Avalanche 4, Stars 2.