TDG’s MLB DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals
- Release Date
- 04/26/2025 04:42 AM
- Event Date
- 04/26/2025 02:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
St. Louis Cardinals -150
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Our 25* MLB 25* National League Central Game of the Month is on St. Louis with the money line versus Milwaukee at 2:15 pm et.
The St. Louis Cardinals won for the second time in their last three games with a 3-2 victory against the Brewers in Game 1 of this NL Central series. The Cardinals have won eight of their twelve games at home this year. They have won all five of their games at home when the oddsmakers installed them as a favorite of up to a -150 price. They are averaging 5.2 runs per game at home with a .293 batting average, a .361 on-base percentage, and a .457 slugging percentage. They should have their way against the Brewers' expected starting pitcher, Quinn Priester. The 24-year-old has a 1-0 record in three starts with a 1.93 era and a 1.43 whip, yet those good numbers are not likely to last. He has a strand rate of 91.4% of the runners that have gotten on base against him. The MLB strand rate average this season is 72.6%, and his career left-on-base rate is 68.6%. He also has an opponent’s batting average for the balls put into play against him this year of .263 despite the MLB average being .283. His career babip is .293. In his 3two starts on the road, he had an opponent’s batting average of .294 and a whip of 1.78. Last year, Priester had a 4.67 era and a 1.38 whip in his 34 2/3 innings on the road. His underlying numbers indicate that he is pretty much the same pitcher. The Cardinals have beaten six of their eight opponents this season using a right-handed starting pitcher.
Milwaukee has won only four of their thirteen games on the road this season. They have pulled off only two upsets in the thirteen games when the oddsmakers installed them as an underdog. They have lost all six-day games they have played this year. St. Louis has won six of their seven days games in 2025. The Cardinals tap Sonny Gray as their starting pitcher with his 3-0 record along with a 3.41 era and a 0.86 whip. He has 29 strikeouts and only four walks in his five starts. His walk rate of 3.6% of the batters he has faced is a career-best mark. Opposing hitters have a hard-hit rate against him of just 28.0% which is his lowest rate of the batted balls against him since 2017. The Brewers have beaten only two of their eight opponents this year who were using a right-handed starting pitcher. Play St. Louis with the money line.
Good luck — Team Del Genio.
