Fargo's NBA Round 1 Game of the Year (61%)
- Handicapper
- Matt Fargo
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat
- Release Date
- 04/25/2025 04:53 PM
- Event Date
- 04/26/2025 01:07 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Miami Heat +5.5 (-110)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Round 1 Game of the Year. Miami did its best to hang around in Game Two as it had to withstand 11 three-pointers from the Cavaliers in the second quarter, an NBA Playoff record, and Cleveland led by 19 points late in the third quarter yet the Heat rallied to take a two-point lead with 3:11 left but were outscored 18-7 the remainder of the game. Donovan Mitchell took over and now the Heat find themselves in a must win spot to keep the series alive in a very similar spot where we had Memphis in Game Three heading home down 2-0 and while it still lost, it was a wire-to-wire cover despite the Grizzlies losing Ja Morant for more than half of the game. Miami finally home after winning two Play-In Tournament road games prior to the two games in Cleveland. The Cavaliers coasted to the top seed in the Eastern Conference and they hit the road where they are 30-11 and are going to be the public team here laying single digits. While being one of the best covers teams in the league throughout the season, they are just 9-14 ATS since March 5th, 7-13 ATS as favorites. We are seeing a reverse line move, albeit slight, but this line opened at 6.5 and is down to 6 and even 5.5 despite 82 percent of the money on Cleveland as of Friday afternoon. 10* (562) Miami Heat