OSKEIM'S #1 MLB INNER CIRCLE PLAY (80-48 RUN)
- Handicapper
- Oskeim Sports
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Release Date
- 04/18/2025 11:03 AM
- Event Date
- 04/18/2025 06:45 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Philadelphia Phillies -200
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Philadelphia applies to a very good 1577-659 SU (70.5%; +2.3% ROI) and 983-869 RL (+3.1% ROI) Home Favorite Run Differential System of mine that is 595-228 SU (72.3%; +4.6% ROI) and 454-365 RL (55.4%; +5% ROI) since 2017, winning by an average margin of +2.1 runs per game. Since 2002, large home favorites early in the season are 370-129 SU (74.1%; +7.5% ROI), winning by an average of +2.0 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB favorites of -191 or greater in the first game of a series are 1435-608 SU (70.2%; +1% ROI) and 1033-833 RL (55.4%; +3.2% ROI), including 733 -293 SU (71.4%; +2% ROI) and 587-437 RL (57.3%; +4% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.1 runs per game. Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2839-5058 SU (36%; -4.4% ROI) and 4028-3450 RL (-3.0% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 827-1634 SU (33.5%; -8.8% ROI) and 1230-1238 RL (-7.5% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.4 runs per game.
Since 2000, MLB road underdogs of +175 or greater are 874-2131 SU (29.1%; -10.5% ROI) and 1213-1409 RL (-6.6% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 297-822 SU (26.5%; -16.6% ROI) and 484-635 RL (43.3%; -10.9% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -2.0 runs per game. Finally, since 2003, .490 or worse underdogs of +142 or greater coming off two or more consecutive losses are 1262-2543 SU (33.2%; -8.1% ROI) and 1675-1524 RL (-2.8% ROI), losing by an average of -1.5 runs per game. Take Philadelphia and invest with confidence.
