Amedeus Mastrangelo - Arizona vs Duke

AMEDEUS' CBB NCAA PICK AND ROLL THE BOOKS!

Handicapper

Amedeus Mastrangelo

League

NCAAB

Competition

Arizona vs Duke

Release Date

03/27/2025 11:09 AM

Event Date

03/27/2025 10:03 PM

Bet Type

Point Spread

Pick

Duke -9.5 (-110) (BetMGM)

Outcome

Loss

Analysis

Arizona is coming into this game with a 24-12 record this season and they were 14-6 in their conference. They have been playing well recently as they have won their last 2 straight as well as 4 of their last 5 games, but they have been a very inconsistent team all season. They have a lot of quality wins this season, but they also have some bad losses too, and they were not great in their non-conference schedule when they had to face tough opponents from different conferences. They have been good in this tournament as they beat Akron 93-65 in the 1st round and are coming off of an 87-83 win against a very good Oregon team in their last game, but that game was also a rollercoaster for them. They got down very early as they were losing 19-4 to start that game. They ended up taking a lead by half and even pulled away in the 2nd half, but they eventually blew their 10+ point lead and made it a very close game in the end, giving Oregon a chance to win the game. That inconsistency is going to come back to bite them against a team like Duke. They are going up against a Duke team that is 33-3 this season and they were 19-1 in their conference. They have been on fire recently as they won the ACC Tournament as well as the regular season and they have won their last 13 straight games with a majority of those wins coming by 10+ points. They dominated Mount St Mary's in the 1st round and now they are coming off of an 89-66 win against Baylor in the last round. Duke also beat Arizona earlier this season 69-55, and that was a road game in Arizona as well. Duke has been much better than Arizona both offensively and defensively this season, and Duke has a big advantage from the 3, especially with the way Proctor has been shooting in this tournament. Duke will cover the spread in this game.