Matt Fargo - Maryland vs Florida

Fargo's Sweet 16 Thursday Signature Enforcer

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NCAAB
Competition
Maryland vs Florida
Release Date
03/26/2025 11:53 PM
Event Date
03/27/2025 07:39 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Maryland +6.5 (-110) (BetMGM)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS for our Sweet 16 Thursday Signature Enforcer. Coming into the tournament, Maryland brought in arguably the best starting five and we still feel that is the case. The Terrapins have been fortunate where all five have played all 35 games so they have been healthy and have been able to stay out of foul trouble over the second half of the season and the latter is not an issue here as Florida is not a team that initiates contact and goes to the line as it is No. 233 in Free Throw Rate. Maryland has one of lowest minutes from the bench in the country so any foul issues and they can be done but this far in, they are fine. The Terrapins are 9-7 in Quad 1 games which is not great on paper but those seven losses have all been by five points or less and by an average of 3.1 ppg so the margins are all in our favor. The Gators are off just a two-point win over Connecticut as it did not lead for over the first 17 minutes of the second half but were able to pull away for its eighth straight win. Now they have a test facing a team with little depth off four days of rest and laying a big number that is publicly inflated. 10* (631) Maryland Terrapins

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