My 10* SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR is on Texas Tech at 10:05 EST. The Razorbacks have yet to lose a post-season game against the spread. They beat South Carolina 72-68 in the SEC Tournament's first round, but then lost 83-80 to Ole Miss in the second, going on to cover though with the 4.5 points. Arkansas has since won its first two games to open up the NCAA Tournament as well, dispatching KU 79-72 as a 5-point underdog, before a 75-66 upset victory over St. John's as a 7-point dog. Texas Tech is 3-1 SU over its four post-season games as well, losing to Arizona 86-80 in the second round of the Big 12 Conference Tournament, while also winning both of its first two games of the NCAA Tournament, most recently the 77-64 victory over Drake. The Red Raiders are just 1-3 against the spread in that span though, finally managing an ATS cover last time in the victory over Drake. Arkansas is a well-coached team with a bunch of veterans, but Texas Tech has the skill and athletic advantage. It's difficult for me to see the Hogs slowing down JT Toppin, as the 6-foot-9 All-American is averaging 17.9 points and 9.2 boards per game. Arkansas' defense thrives on creating turnovers, but the Red Raiders are 26th in the country in protecting the ball, conceding just 9.9 turnovers per game. Lay the points with confidence.