NFL LA RAMS-PHILADELPHIA NBC-TV SPECIAL
- Handicapper
- Hollywood Sports
- League
- NFL
- Competition
- Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles
- Time
- 01/19/2025 03:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Los Angeles Rams +7 (+100)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- At 3:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Rams (391) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (392). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (11-7) has won six of their last seven games after their 27-9 upset win as a 2.5-point underdog last Sunday. Philadelphia (15-3) has won three games in a row and 13 of their last 14 contests after their 22-10 victory against Green Bay as a 5.5-point favorite last Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE RAMS PLUS THE POINTS: Los Angeles only gained 292 yards of offense last week despite the easy victory. Their pass rush sacked Sam Darnold nine times — and they held the Vikings to just 269 yards. Minnesota averaged a mere 3.3 Yards-Per-Attempt in the passing game. In the last six weeks of the regular season, their defense ranked 11th in the NFL in Opponent Expected Points Added per play allowed. Snow is expected this afternoon — and that is not ideal for the veteran Matthew Stafford who played indoors for most of his games when playing with Detroit. But Stafford won’t mind the cold weather. In his 12 career games played in temperates no higher than 40 degrees, he has averaged 265.3 passing Yards-Per-Game from completing 63.1% of his passes with 23 touchdown passes and only eight interceptions — and he has a 96.6 Quarterback Rating in those games. The Rams have covered the point spread in 12 of their 19 games after a straight-up win. They stay on the road after playing last week’s game in Glendale, Arizona — and they have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games on the road. Additionally, Los Angeles has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games on the road with the Total set in the 42.5-49 point range — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road against teams with a winning record. Philadelphia only gained 290 yards last week in their win against the Packers. Jalen Hurts has been in a bit of a funk in the second half of the season in the passing game and he may still be recovering from a concussion. He has not been great in cold weather either. In his ten career games in temperatures under 40 degrees, Hurts is completing only 57.8% of his passes with five touchdown passes and seven interceptions — and he averages only 127.7 passing Yards-Per-Game. In his three games this season with the temperature no higher than 40 degrees, he has averaged just 139.7 passing YPG. If the Philly game script is to abandon the pass, the Rams can cheat their strong safety into the box to help stop running back Saquon Barkley. The Eagles have covered the point spread in three straight games — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 18 games after covering the point spread in two straight games and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after covering the point spread in three games in a row.
FINAL TAKE: The Eagles on the first meeting between these two teams on November 24th by a 37-20 score as a 3-point favorite. The Rams have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 13 games on the road in rematch situations — and Philadelphia is 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games when it is a rematch. 10* NFL LA Rams-Philadelphia NBC-TV Special with the Los Angeles Rams (391) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (392). Best of luck for us — Frank.
