Fargo's CFP Opening Winner (INVEST)
- Handicapper
- Matt Fargo
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- Indiana vs Notre Dame
- Time
- 12/20/2024 08:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Indiana +7 (-105)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CFP Opening Winner. The expanded College Football Playoff is opening at Notre Dame Stadium and it probably cannot be more appropriate for the Irish to host the first playoff game. That being said, this team is overvalued after covering the last eight games. Big money has come in on Notre Dame as it is now at 65 percent and the line has been coming down which is what we like to see. We are still getting a touchdown with Indiana after opening at 8 and this game could be low scoring with some weather and that just favors the underdog. Notre Dame is coming off a late cover against USC in its last game, the only legitimate opponent it has faced with arguments to be made for Louisville and Georgia Tech but now comes in an opponent that coming into the season no one saw this coming. The Hoosiers caught a lot of flack for having an easy schedule which is legit but they have done what they need to do. Coming off the loss against Ohio St. brought in the doubters and they responded with a statement win over Purdue, granted probably the worst Power 4 team, but focus counts. And it begs the question of has Notre Dame had a tougher schedule? No. 64 compared to No. 74 so not really. We love what head coach Curt Cignetti has brought into this program and he is one to back over Marcus Freeman in a spot like this. Here. We play on underdogs of +155 to +300 against the money line allowing 2.75 or less rushing ypc, after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game. This situation is 32-19 (62.7 percent) since 1992 with a scoring differential of +2.2 ppg. 10* (211) Indiana Hoosiers
