Sean's CFB FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL DOMINATOR!
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- Indiana vs Notre Dame
- Time
- 12/20/2024 08:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Indiana vs Notre Dame Under 52.5 (-112)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- My selection is on the 'under' between Indiana and Notre Dame at 8 pm ET on Friday.
This total feels inflated for a matchup involving a stout Notre Dame defense. The Irish have been excellent on that side of the ball, allowing just 13.6 points per game this season. They’ll look to turn this into a physical, grind-it-out affair in their backyard, particularly after having three weeks off to prepare. While Notre Dame enters this contest on the heels of consecutive 'over' results, those outcomes may not be indicative of what we’ll see in this game, especially given the extended layoff, which could lead to some early offensive rust.
Indiana’s offensive success this season can’t be overlooked, but it’s important to note that the Hoosiers were held to just 20 and 15 points in back-to-back games against Michigan and Ohio State, two teams with defenses on par with Notre Dame's. Like the Irish, Indiana comes into this game following consecutive 'over' results, but those were against more offensively-oriented teams.
With both teams likely to prioritize defense and methodical play, this matchup sets up well for a lower-scoring outcome.
Take the under. Projected score: Notre Dame 24, Indiana 20.