Sean's CFB FRIDAY AFTERNOON ATS ROUT! 22-10?
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- Tulane vs Florida
- Time
- 12/20/2024 03:37 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Tulane +10.5 (-105)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- My selection is on Tulane plus the points over Florida at 3:30 pm ET on Friday.
I believe there’s an underlying SEC bias influencing this line, which provides value on Tulane. The Green Wave enters this matchup with a 9-4 record but comes off consecutive losses both SU and ATS, including a blowout loss to Army in the AAC Championship Game. That disappointing finish should serve as a motivator for Tulane, giving them a chip on their shoulder as they take on an SEC opponent.
Florida, on the other hand, closed out an up-and-down season with three straight victories, including outright upset wins over LSU and Ole Miss. However, both of those wins came at home, where the Gators have thrived. Away from The Swamp, Florida has been far less reliable, posting a 1-3 record on the road this season. While this game takes place in Tampa, Florida’s proximity might not be enough to overcome its inconsistency outside Gainesville. Additionally, the Gators may not be fully locked in for this less-prestigious bowl game, with their focus perhaps lingering on missed opportunities this season.
Expect a motivated Tulane squad to keep this game close, and don’t be surprised if they push Florida to the brink.
Take Tulane. Projected score: Florida 27, Tulane 24.