TOM'S 24-10 ATS NFL ELITE DIVISION WAGER
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NFL
- Competition
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons
- Time
- 10/03/2024 08:15 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Atlanta Falcons -1.5 (-110)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #302 ATLANTA (-) over Tampa Bay at 8:15 PM EST
Based on their blowout home win over the Eagles, the Buccaneers are locked into a negative wagering situation that owns a woeful 36-69 ATS record, and they’ll have all kinds of problems in this primetime event. The Falcons escaped with a 26-24 home win over the Saints last weekend and they’ll play much better in this crucial NFC South contest.
If Atlanta is searching for motivation, all head coach Raheem Morris and his players need to do is check out the division standings. Tampa Bay is on top with a 3-1 SU record and New Orleans and Hotlanta are tied for second place with identical 2-2 SU marks. Thankfully, game five teams arriving off a division game that own a 2-2 SU record hold a respectable 32-20-1 ATS tally provided their opponent sports a team won/loss percentage of .501 or better. If our “play on” side is lined up against a foe that enters off the comforts of a home game, this unique situation explodes to a profitable 24-10 ATS including a nearly perfect 9-1 ATS provided this is a division battle. That bodes well for Hotlanta.
Off that blowout home win and cover over the Green Birds, the Bucs will get a quick reality check inside Mercedes-Benz Stadium. For starters, when coming off a SU and ATS victory and now lined up against a division foe, Tampa Bay has struggled lately posting a weak 6-10 SU and ATS mark in its last 16 games. Additionally, when playing on Thursday’s, the Buccaneers have inked a nasty 5-10 SU and 3-12 ATS tally in their last 15 tries including a horrible 0-9 ATS if they are priced as a favorite or a short underdog of +5.5 or less. Lastly, when storming the field off a blowout victory of 10 points or more, the Bucs hold a filthy 14-22-2 ATS record including a rough 7-17-1 ATS mark if their opponent arrives with confidence off a straight up win.
If the Falcons want to be taken seriously as NFC South contenders, then Coach Morris and his troops will need to prove that tonight with a primetime Amazon audience watching closely. Take Atlanta. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
