Fargo's MLB Wild Card Dominator (+$2,900 Run)
- Handicapper
- Matt Fargo
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Time
- 10/03/2024 07:08 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
New York Mets +114
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Wild Card Dominator. The Brewers used two home runs that accounted for three runs in the eighth inning off reliever Phil Maton to win Game Two 5-3 and force a decisive Game Three. Milwaukee improved to 48-35 at home and bring in the momentum but it is at a disadvantage in one of the integral parts of the postseason and that is the bullpen. Milwaukee has been average against left-handed pitching this season and while going 69-46 against right-handed starters, they went just 25-24 against southpaws. The Mets were solid on the road this season as they are now 44-39 and they are looking to get the bats going again as they have scored eight runs twice during the playoff run while scoring just three runs in the other two games but one of those was the second game against the Braves that did not matter and used a skeleton lineup. Tobias Myers gets the Game Three call, something no one would have seen coming after his struggles at the Double-A level just one year ago. He has been a reliable starter for Milwaukee as he has allowed more than three runs only twice since June over 19 starts but he has gone six innings only eight times over that stretch. He had the luxury of arguably the best bullpen behind him but that bullpen has been used a ton over the first two games and all it takes is one tired arm at the wrong time. The Mets counter with Jose Quintana who got off to a rough start this season but he has been sensational down the stretch. He posted a 2.77 ERA since June 15, a span of 18 starts and that ERA is No. 11 among 66 qualified starters. It is just behind Myers over this stretch but he has a fresh bullpen, namely Edwin Diaz which could be big, and better recent form as he closed the season with a 0.28 ERA over his final five regular season starts, allowing one run over 32 innings. 10* (929) New York Mets
