Fargo's MLB Friday Double Play (+$4,410 Run)
- Handicapper
- Matt Fargo
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Time
- 07/26/2024 06:50 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Tampa Bay Rays -106
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Friday Double Play. Tampa Bay took two of three against Toronto following a four-game split with the Yankees out of the break and are now a game over .500. The big news is that they traded Randy Arozarena which may feel like they have tossed it in but even though he is a big name, he is having an awful year with splits of .211/.318/.394 so he is not going to be missed. Tampa Bay is No. 22 in wRC+ and he was part of that and the Rays get a good matchup here against a lefty where they are 17-9 on the season and the price is based on the opponent pitcher. The Reds were swept in Washington coming out of the break before taking two games against Atlanta in a rainout series and they are back to four games under .500 which puts them 4.5 games out of the final wild card spot in the National League. They are a good road team at one game under .500 which is playing into this number somewhat but it is more about the pitcher. Everyone loves Nick Lodolo as they should because he has had a great season with a 3.51 ERA and 1.12 WHIP through 15 starts but we are starting to see some negative regression. He has a 6.05 ERA over his last four starts and while 85 innings does not suggest fatigue, the recent struggles cannot be ignored. Tampa Bay in No. 12 in OPS at .740 against lefties. Shane Baz is another reason this number is low as he has made only three starts but his lat two were against the Yankees and went 7.2 innings and allowed only three runs so there should be confidence after that. 10* (924) Tampa Bay Rays
