OSKEIM'S HUGE MLB FORTUNE 500 PLAY (+$16,430)
- Handicapper
- Oskeim Sports
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles
- Time
- 07/26/2024 07:05 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Baltimore Orioles -193
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- Since 2006, MLB favorites of -201 or greater in games with totals of eight or more runs are 2460-934 SU (72.5%; +2.3% ROI) and 1817-1370 RL (57%; +3% ROI), including 1328-460 SU (74.3%; +4% ROI) and 1051-738 RL (58.7%; +3.2% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of +2.34 runs per game. Since 2005, MLB favorites of -191 or greater in the first game of a series are 1386-589 SU (70.2%; +1% ROI) and 996-802 RL (55.4%; +3.2% ROI), including 684-274 SU (71.4%; +2% ROI) and 550-406 RL (57.5%; +4.1% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.11 runs per game. Atlanta applies to a very good 1539-642 SU (70.6%; +2.3% ROI) and 960-838 RL (+3.7% ROI) Home Favorite Run Differential system of mine that dates to 2004 and is 479-190 SU (71.6%; +3.6% ROI) and 371-295 RL (55.7%; +5.5% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average of +2.04 runs per game. Since 2001, MLB road underdogs coming off two or more consecutive wins are 1620-2451 SU (39.8%; -5.6% ROI) and 1948-1429 RL (-4.2% ROI) in the last game of a series, including 320-512 SU (38.5%; -7.8% ROI) and 472-359 RL (-3.7% ROI) since 2019.
Since 2006, MLB road underdogs of +130 or greater are 2785-4939 SU (36%; -4.1% ROI) and 3948-3354 RL (-2.6% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 771-1527 SU (33.6%; -8.4% ROI) and 1151-1143 RL (-6.7% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -1.43 runs per game. Finally, since 2000, MLB road underdogs of +175 or greater are 858-2084 SU (29.2%; -10.3% ROI) and 1187-1372 RL (-6.4% ROI) versus .551 or greater opponents, including 281-775 SU (26.6%; -16.4% ROI) and 458-598 RL (43.4%; -10.8% ROI) since 2019, losing by an average of -2.1 runs per game. Take Baltimore and invest with confidence.
