Free Picks
NBA - Over / Under - Wed, Dec 25 @ 02:40 PM
ROGERS FREE NBA WINNER
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Over 221.5 (-108) (DraftKings)
At 2:40pm Et, my free play is on Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Over. This is the lowest total on the Christmas Day board. As of Tuesday at noon ET, it's slightly lower (or the same) as the Phi/Bos total and a couple points lower than the NY/SA and LA/GSW totals. It looks a little too...
At 2:40pm Et, my free play is on Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Over. This is the lowest total on the Christmas Day board. As of Tuesday at noon ET, it's slightly lower (or the same) as the Phi/Bos total and a couple points lower than the NY/SA and LA/GSW totals. It looks a little too low to me. The Mavericks average 118.9 points a game and they scored 132 in their last game. Dallas games average 230.9 points. The Wolves have played 9 games this month and 7 of those finished under the total. They were only underdogs for 1 of those games though and that game finished over its low total. Wednesday's game will do the same. Play on the over.
NFL - Over / Under - Wed, Dec 25 @ 04:30 PM
OSKEIM'S FREE CHRISTMAS NFL TOTALS WINNER
Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans Under 46.5 (-110) (BetMGM)
Since 2013, NFL teams averaging six or more yards per play are 457-356-23 to the Under (56.2%) from Week 5 forward. Since 2011, Thursday/Monday NFL road favorites that gave up fourteen or more points in their last game are 77-53-4 to the Under (59.2%), including 33-11-1 UNDER (75%) since 2021, c...
Since 2013, NFL teams averaging six or more yards per play are 457-356-23 to the Under (56.2%) from Week 5 forward. Since 2011, Thursday/Monday NFL road favorites that gave up fourteen or more points in their last game are 77-53-4 to the Under (59.2%), including 33-11-1 UNDER (75%) since 2021, covering the total by an average of -5.4 points per game. Since 2021, NFL road favorites of less than a touchdown coming off a win are 96-72-3 to the Under (57.1%). Houston falls into a very good 84-62-5 (57.5%) NFL totals system of mine that invests on the under in games with avenging NFL home teams coming off a non-division loss as underdogs. This situation is 27-15-2 UNDER (64.3%) since the beginning of the 2023-24 season, going under by an average of -3.7 points per game. Since 2015, non-divisional road favorites coming off a SU and ATS win in games with totals of greater than 40 points are 130-104-4 to the Under (55.6%), including 40-25-1 UNDER (61.5%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season. Finally, the Ravens are 91-50-2 to the Under (64.5%) in road affairs following a game in which they had a 17:90 or greater time of possession, including 18-9 UNDER (66.7%) since 2020, covering the total by an average of -3.8 points per game. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, December 25.
NFL - Point Spread - Wed, Dec 25 @ 04:30 PM
Kyle's Free Play 12/25
Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens -5.5 (-110) (Consensus Line)
Free Play on Ravens- The Baltimore Ravens are the far healthier team of these two. Baltimore is also the best offense in the NFL. The Ravens have consistently been able to move the football against everyone. Houston is badly banged up. They are one of the most injured teams in the NFL. C.J. Strou...
Free Play on Ravens- The Baltimore Ravens are the far healthier team of these two. Baltimore is also the best offense in the NFL. The Ravens have consistently been able to move the football against everyone. Houston is badly banged up. They are one of the most injured teams in the NFL. C.J. Stroud doesn't have the offensive line needed now, and he definitely doesn't have the pass catchers he once had. Stroud is down both Diggs and Dell on the outside. The Ravens have proved far too much for the Texans in the past, and that was a Texans team much healthier than this one. Take Baltimore.
NBA - Point Spread - Wed, Dec 25 @ 08:10 PM
Brian’s 9* NBA Wednesday Executive Order
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 (-108) (DraftKings)
For my best free pick for Christmas Day I am looking at the LA Lakers at the Golden State Warriors. Lakers losing outright to the Detroit Pistons on Monday will only get us a better number here to bet them on Wednesday. Lebron loves to show up at big games like this and just way to much love here...
For my best free pick for Christmas Day I am looking at the LA Lakers at the Golden State Warriors. Lakers losing outright to the Detroit Pistons on Monday will only get us a better number here to bet them on Wednesday. Lebron loves to show up at big games like this and just way to much love here for the Warriors who themselves are off a home loss to the Indiana Pacers. Warriors 3-7 SU last 10 games. Warriors have won and covered the last 3 versus the Lakers look for this one to be a one possession game any way you slice it. Play on the Los Angeles Lakers plus the points ***DO NOT MISS MY AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR HERE ON Wednesday I am 60-37 62% on all played in December and on TITANIUMS I am 48-33 59.2% last 81***
NCAAB - Point Spread - Wed, Dec 25 @ 08:30 PM
NFL Thursday! 71% Run!
Oregon State vs Nebraska
Nebraska -4 (-112) (DraftKings)
My free play is Nebraska minus the points. The Cornhuskers only slight issue is 3 point shooting but they don't take many treys compared to 2 point shots so it rarely makes a difference. The Huskers are strong at forcing turnovers and one of Oregon State's biggest issues is the turnover departmen...
My free play is Nebraska minus the points. The Cornhuskers only slight issue is 3 point shooting but they don't take many treys compared to 2 point shots so it rarely makes a difference. The Huskers are strong at forcing turnovers and one of Oregon State's biggest issues is the turnover department where they get a little reckless with the ball. The Beavers have posted strong defensive numbers but the schedule has been extremely soft. And while Nebraska is off a double digit win over Hawaii in Honolulu, OSU had to come from behind and beat Oakland in OT. My free play in this neutral site game on the islands is Nebraska minus the points. Thanks and best of luck! Jack Banks.
NBA - Point Spread - Wed, Dec 25 @ 10:40 PM
ASA Free Play Wednesday NBA
Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns +1.5 (-110) (BetMGM)
ASA NBA play on Phoenix Suns 1st Half +1.5 vs. Denver Nuggets, 10:30 PM ET - We were wrong on the Suns against this same Denver team on Monday night as the Nuggets embarrassed the Phoenix 117-90. In this quick rematch we expect the Suns to come out highly motivated in the 1st half at home. In the...
ASA NBA play on Phoenix Suns 1st Half +1.5 vs. Denver Nuggets, 10:30 PM ET - We were wrong on the Suns against this same Denver team on Monday night as the Nuggets embarrassed the Phoenix 117-90. In this quick rematch we expect the Suns to come out highly motivated in the 1st half at home. In the game on Monday the Nuggets led 55-51 at the break in a competitive game in the first half. Denver took control in the second half, leading by as many as 28-points at one point. Phoenix has an 1st Half average +/- of +2.5ppg, the Nuggets have an average differential of minus -3.6ppg. Phoenix has some injury concerns and lacks depth so the smart play in the 1st half wager, not the entire game.
NBA - Point Spread - Wed, Dec 25 @ 10:40 PM
Sean Murphy's NUGGETS-SUNS WINNER!
Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns +3 (-110) (Consensus Line)
Wednesday NBA Free play. My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over Denver at 10:30 pm ET on Wednesday. Phoenix enters this matchup seeking revenge after suffering a lopsided 117-90 loss in Denver on Monday. That defeat marked the Suns' third consecutive loss straight-up and their fourth st...
Wednesday NBA Free play. My selection is on Phoenix plus the points over Denver at 10:30 pm ET on Wednesday. Phoenix enters this matchup seeking revenge after suffering a lopsided 117-90 loss in Denver on Monday. That defeat marked the Suns' third consecutive loss straight-up and their fourth straight against the spread. Despite their recent struggles, this sets up as a prime opportunity for Phoenix to bounce back on its home court. Denver has been solid overall this season but far from dominant on the road, where it has posted just a 6-9 straight-up record. The Nuggets might also have their focus partially shifted toward their upcoming two-game homestand starting Friday, creating a potential letdown spot here. Meanwhile, the Suns have a chance to settle in with a continued homestand, hosting Dallas next after this contest. Look for Phoenix to respond with a spirited effort as it looks to stay competitive against a familiar conference foe. Take Phoenix. Projected score: Phoenix 114, Denver 112.
NFL - Over / Under - Sat, Dec 28 @ 01:00 PM
OSKEIM'S FREE SATURDAY NFL TOTALS WINNER
Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots
Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Under 42.5 (-110) (DraftKings)
Since 2009, NFL teams coming off five or more consecutive losses that won six or fewer games the previous season are 98-79-2 to the Under (55.4%), including 42-28-2 UNDER (60%) since 2019, going under by an average margin of -2.0 points per game. Since 1996, Pacific time zone road favorites are ...
Since 2009, NFL teams coming off five or more consecutive losses that won six or fewer games the previous season are 98-79-2 to the Under (55.4%), including 42-28-2 UNDER (60%) since 2019, going under by an average margin of -2.0 points per game. Since 1996, Pacific time zone road favorites are 71-51-3 to the Under (58.2%) versus Eastern time zone opponents, including 39-25-3 UNDER (60.9%) since 2015, covering the total by an average of -3.3 points per game. Since 2021, NFL road favorites are 226-172-7 to the Under (56.8%). The Chargers are 60-30-2 to the Under (66.7%) since 2013 coming off a win, covering the total by an average margin of -2.9 points per game. The Chargers are 39-24-1 to the Under (61.9%) since 2007 following a win versus .499 or worse opponents, including 12-5-1 UNDER (70.6%) since 2019, going under by an average of -4.2 points per game. Finally, Los Angeles head coach Jim Harbaugh is 30-18-2 to the Under (62.5%) in his NFL career, going under by an average of -2.6 points per game. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, December 28.
NFL - Over / Under - Sun, Dec 29 @ 01:00 PM
OSKEIM'S FREE SUNDAY NFL TOTALS WINNER
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Under 49.5 (-110) (BetOnline)
Since 2013, NFL teams averaging six or more yards per play are 457-356-23 to the Under (56.2%) from Week 5 forward. Since 2017, NFL teams coming off an overtime game are 129-93-5 to the Under (58.1%), including 80-49 UNDER (62%) since 2021. Since 2007, early afternoon divisional games are 174-1...
Since 2013, NFL teams averaging six or more yards per play are 457-356-23 to the Under (56.2%) from Week 5 forward. Since 2017, NFL teams coming off an overtime game are 129-93-5 to the Under (58.1%), including 80-49 UNDER (62%) since 2021. Since 2007, early afternoon divisional games are 174-135-7 to the Under (56.3%) from Week 13 forward. Since 1995, divisional NFL games with totals of greater than 45 points are 512-404 to the Under (55.9%) from Week 11 forward. Finally, since 1990, .400 to .600 NFL teams in the final two weeks of the regular season are 154-124-5 to the Under (55.4%) versus opponents with a win percentage between .250 and .450, including 65-41-4 UNDER (61.3%) since 2013, going under by an average margin of -2.1 points per game. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, December 29.Free newsletter
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