by Will Rogers
Thursday, Feb 01, 2024The Super Bowl offers an enormous amount of proposition wagering opportunities. Some are kind of silly but others provide us with a great chance to profit. Sorting through them can be tough. So, I've tried to assist in that area by providing several to keep an eye out for. I've tried to feature a little something for everyone. So, whether you're into favorites or underdogs, I've got you covered. Remember to shop around. These lines can vary a lot, from book to book.
Travis Kelce Receptions (UNDER 6.5) +121
Kelce absolutely went off last game. Between his 11-catch performance and all the extra hype surrounding his relationship with Taylor Swift, there are a lot of bettors wanting to play on him in every way possible. The books are forced to act accordingly and Kelce prices are set sky high. That provides value in going against him. Last game, he was being asked to have 5.5 catches. Now, he's being asked to catch 6.5. Not only that, you have to pay a steep price on the over for the privilege. That means we get the under 6.5 with a solid underdog return. The 49ers will have a defensive strategy in place to slow down Kelce. They'll do a much better job of doing so than Baltimore did.
Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards (Over 65.5) -118
If the 49ers are going to focus a lot of energy on stopping Mahomes and Kelce, they may become vulnerable to the Chiefs' running game. Keep in mind that the Lions just put up 182 rushing yards against them. Montgomery had 92 and Gibbs and Williams had 45 and 42, respectively. Pacheco didn't even average 3 yards a carry against the Ravens and still had 68 rushing yards. Barring an injury, he'll dominate the carries for KC and finish with 70+ yards on the ground.
Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD (YES) -214
The price on this one is rather steep. That is, until you consider that McCaffrey is a scoring machine. In 18 games, he's scored 18 touchdowns. He scored 2 touchdowns against the Lions after scoring 2 against the Packers. If SF is going to find the end zone, there's a good chance its going to be McCaffrey.
Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts (Under 36.5) +100
If there's anyone that gets more hype than Kelce, its Mahomes. All that hype brings inflated prices. Most don't want to bet against the KC superstar. The Chiefs don't want their QB having to throw on every down. They saw the Lions run all over the 49ers and they will try and follow a similar gameplan. They'd prefer a game like they had against Buffalo where Mahomes was an efficient 17 of 23, for 215 yards with 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. He'll throw more than 23 times against the 49ers but probably less than 37.
Will the Super Bowl go to Overtime? (Yes) +938
Here's a big long-shot play, for those who are so inclined. Super Bowls don't usually go to Overtime. It's only happened once that I can remember, Brady's famous comeback versus the Falcons. This one has the makings of a really close game though. I'm personally not touching the side as I think its a coin flip. Both teams have been playing close games to get here. The 49ers 2 playoff games were both decided by a field goal. The Chiefs last 2 games were decided by 7 and 3. The previous time these teams met in the SB, the score was tied at halftime. There's no reason this one can't be tied at the end of regulation. At nearly 10-1, I'm taking a shot.
Travis Kelce Receptions (UNDER 6.5) +121
Kelce absolutely went off last game. Between his 11-catch performance and all the extra hype surrounding his relationship with Taylor Swift, there are a lot of bettors wanting to play on him in every way possible. The books are forced to act accordingly and Kelce prices are set sky high. That provides value in going against him. Last game, he was being asked to have 5.5 catches. Now, he's being asked to catch 6.5. Not only that, you have to pay a steep price on the over for the privilege. That means we get the under 6.5 with a solid underdog return. The 49ers will have a defensive strategy in place to slow down Kelce. They'll do a much better job of doing so than Baltimore did.
Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards (Over 65.5) -118
If the 49ers are going to focus a lot of energy on stopping Mahomes and Kelce, they may become vulnerable to the Chiefs' running game. Keep in mind that the Lions just put up 182 rushing yards against them. Montgomery had 92 and Gibbs and Williams had 45 and 42, respectively. Pacheco didn't even average 3 yards a carry against the Ravens and still had 68 rushing yards. Barring an injury, he'll dominate the carries for KC and finish with 70+ yards on the ground.
Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD (YES) -214
The price on this one is rather steep. That is, until you consider that McCaffrey is a scoring machine. In 18 games, he's scored 18 touchdowns. He scored 2 touchdowns against the Lions after scoring 2 against the Packers. If SF is going to find the end zone, there's a good chance its going to be McCaffrey.
Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts (Under 36.5) +100
If there's anyone that gets more hype than Kelce, its Mahomes. All that hype brings inflated prices. Most don't want to bet against the KC superstar. The Chiefs don't want their QB having to throw on every down. They saw the Lions run all over the 49ers and they will try and follow a similar gameplan. They'd prefer a game like they had against Buffalo where Mahomes was an efficient 17 of 23, for 215 yards with 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. He'll throw more than 23 times against the 49ers but probably less than 37.
Will the Super Bowl go to Overtime? (Yes) +938
Here's a big long-shot play, for those who are so inclined. Super Bowls don't usually go to Overtime. It's only happened once that I can remember, Brady's famous comeback versus the Falcons. This one has the makings of a really close game though. I'm personally not touching the side as I think its a coin flip. Both teams have been playing close games to get here. The 49ers 2 playoff games were both decided by a field goal. The Chiefs last 2 games were decided by 7 and 3. The previous time these teams met in the SB, the score was tied at halftime. There's no reason this one can't be tied at the end of regulation. At nearly 10-1, I'm taking a shot.
