Week 1 NFL Player Props

Trevor Lawrence Over 1.5 Pass TDs (-125)

This matchup has shootout written all over it and boasts the second highest scoring total of the weekend (O/U 49.5). There are lots of preseason question marks on the Miami defense leaving room for Lawrence to sling it all over the field in order to keep up with the Dolphins explosive offense. In 2023, the Dolphins had the 22rd ranked scoring defense and likely got worse on that side of the ball during the offseason. The Jags added the big bodies of Brian Thomas Jr. and Gabe Davis to win contested catches in the Red Zone, helping Lawrence boost his passing stats in his fourth season. Jacksonville will score multiple touchdowns on Sunday, and TLaw is in for a big day to start his 2024 campaign. 

Zamir White Over 51.5 Rush Yards (-115)

White is replacing Josh Jacobs as the workhorse running back in Las Vegas with basically zero other competition for opportunities. In the concluding four games without Jacobs last year, White averaged 21 attempts per game and nearly 100 rushing yards per game. Going into year three, White is poised to be a key factor in what the Raiders wish to do, which is play defense and run the ball. This matchup is likely to see the most rushing attempts of the weekend and White should see at least 15 rushing attempts himself. At 6’0 215, even a fraction of the efficiency we saw from the end of last season will get White to his yardage goal week 1.  

Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 82.5 Rec Yards (-115)

Its weird to think, but the Rams defense has fallen from the ranks in recent years and is expected to be one of the worst units in the NFL for 2024. Similar to the Jags/Dolphins matchup, this one has the highest point total in the league for week 1 (O/U 51). Ra averaged 95 receiving yards per game last year, and a juicy matchup in front of a buzzing crowd at Ford Field will get the Sun God activated early this year. With such a high scoring game expected from oddsmakers, it's hard to see where the disconnect is for Detroit's star wide receiver. Last year St. Brown went over 80 yards in eleven of his sixteen games.