by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jan 20, 2025
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 26, 2025
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Commanders +5.5, Eagles -5.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Commanders +5.5, Eagles -5.5; Over/Under: 48 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Commanders +5.5, Eagles -5.5; Over/Under: 48 points
Season Record
Washington Commanders: 12-5 (2nd place, NFC East)
Philadelphia Eagles: 14-3 (1st place, NFC East)
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Recent Form
Washington Commanders: won their last game on the road against the Detroit Lions 45-31.
Philadelphia Eagles: won their last game at home against the Los Angeles Rams 28-22.
Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Preview and Analysis
The Commanders finished the NFL regular season with a 12-5 record overall and they were 4-2 in their divisional games. They were 7-2 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they were also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Detroit Lions 45-31. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 22/31 passes for 299 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 77 and 2 TDs. Dyami Brown led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jeremy Chinn led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Dorance Armstrong led the defense in sacks with 2. Mike Sainristil led the defense with 2 interceptions while Jeremy Chinn and Quan Martin each came away with 1 INT for them in that one.
The Eagles finished the NFL regular season with a 14-3 record overall and they were 5-1 in their divisional games. They were 7-1 in their home games, 6-2 in their road games, and they were also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 28-22. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 15/20 passes for 128 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Saquon Barkley led the team in rushing yards with 205 and 2 TDs. Dallas Goedert led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Darius Slay Jr., C. J. Gardner-Johnson, and Zack Baun each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jalen Carter led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Commanders vs Eagles Prediction
The current betting odds have the Eagles listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Eagles have looked really good in their games this season with their 14-3 record overall which led the NFC East with one of the best records in the NFL. They have won 2 games in a row at home in the playoffs and now they get to host this NFC Championship game too. Meanwhile, the Commanders have looked really good in their games this season with their 12-5 record overall which had them in 2nd place of the NFC East and in a Wild Card spot. They have looked great in the playoffs with 2 wins in a row on the road, winning in Tampa against the Buccaneers and in Detroit last week against the Lions, taking down the number 1 seed in the NFC. Jayden Daniels has looked great and they were never really trailing in that game against the Lions, but this is going to be their 3rd time facing the Eagles this season and the Eagles are definitely a team they have struggled with. They lost the first game against the Eagles in Philadelphia by 6 points and ended up winning the last game against them at home 36-33, but they were also helped out a lot in that win. That was the game that Jalen Hurts got a concussion in, having to leave early which allowed the Commanders back in the game since they were down 21-0 when Hurts left and it looked like the Eagles were going to run away with it. Now the Commanders will be on the road again where they lost against the Eagles earlier this season, and the Commanders also have one of the worst run defenses in the NFL which will be an issue against Barkley who has been an animal in these 2 playoff games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Eagles to cover the spread in this game.
Commanders Eagles Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 26, 2025 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Eagles 27 Commanders 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Washington Commanders: 6-11 ATS versus division opponents. 2-4 1H ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 13-5 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 8-4 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 11-5 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season.
Philadelphia Eagles: 13-3 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 8-4 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 15-7 ATS off a home win. 10-5 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 18-10 1H OVER as a home favorite. 9-1 1H OVER after a 2 game home stand.
Key Injuries
Washington Commanders: K. Osborn (WR) Injured - Finger. M. Walker (OLB) Questionable - Illness. B. Coleman (OT) Injured - Shoulder. Z. Gonzalez (K) Injured - Hip. B. Wagner (MLB) Injured - Ankle. D. Payne (DT) Injured - Finger. D. Hampton (SAF) Injured - Back. B. Sinnott (TE) Injured - Shoulder. F. Luvu (LB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Bates (TE) Injured - Shoulder. C. Yankoff (TE) Questionable - Hamstring. J. Crowder (WR) Injured - Hamstring. Z. Ertz (TE) Injured - Ribs. M. Lattimore (CB) Injured - Hamstring. C. Ferrell (DE) Injured - Knee. J. Magee (LB) Out - Hamstring. D. Fowler (LB) Injured - NIR-Rest.
Philadelphia Eagles: D. Goedert (TE) Injured - Illness. J. Sweat (OLB) Injured - Rest. S. Barkley (RB) Injured - Rest. J. Mailata (T) Injured - Rest. A. Brown (WR) Injured - Knee. K. Pickett (QB) Injured - Ribs. C. Jurgens (OL) Injured - Rest. B. Young (DT) Out - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“He has a different poise. He’s a rare competitor.” - Dan Quinn on Jayden Daniels after his team’s win against the Lions in the Divisional Round.
“This is the reason why I came here. This was the best opportunity to play in a game like this.” - Saquon Barkley after their win against the LA Rams in the Divisional Round.
Starting Lineups
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Brown, Dyami
WR Zaccheaus, Olamide
TE Ertz, Zach
QB Daniels, Jayden
RB Robinson Jr., Brian
Philadelphia Eagles
WR Brown, A.J.
WR Dotson, Jahan
WR Smith, DeVonta
TE Goedert, Dallas
QB Hurts, Jalen
RB Barkley, Saquon
Statistical Leaders
Washington Commanders
Passing: J. Daniels (3568)
Rushing: J. Daniels (891)
Receiving: T. McLaurin (1096)
Touchdowns: T. McLaurin (13)
Philadelphia Eagles
Passing: J. Hurts (2903)
Rushing: S. Barkley (2005)
Receiving: A. Brown (1079)
Touchdowns: S. Barkley (15)
Coaches:
Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (1st season)
Philadelphia Eagles: Nick Sirianni (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
