by Rod Pearson
Friday, Sep 20, 2024
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, September 23, 2024
Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Commanders +7.5, Bengals -7.5; Over/Under: 47 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Commanders +7.5, Bengals -7.5; Over/Under: 47 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Commanders +7.5, Bengals -7.5; Over/Under: 47 points
Season Record
Washington Commanders: 1-1 (1st place, NFC East)
Cincinnati Bengals: 0-2 (4th place, AFC North)
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Washington Commanders: won their last game at home against the New York Giants 21-18.
Cincinnati Bengals: lost their last game on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs 26-25.
Washington Commanders vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview and Analysis
The Commanders are entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 21-18. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 23/29 passes for 226 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 133. Zach Ertz led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Frankie Luvu led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Clelin Ferrell led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Bengals are entering this game with a 0-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 26-25. Joe Burrow was the starting QB and he completed 23/36 passes for 258 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Zack Moss led the team in rushing yards with 34. Mike Gesicki led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Germaine Pratt led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 9 assisted tackles while Trey Hendrickson led the defense in sacks with 2. Akeem Davis-Gaither and Cam Taylor-Britt each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Commanders vs Bengals Prediction
The current betting odds have the Commanders listed as a 7.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Commanders have a 1-1 record this season but they haven't looked bad in their 2 games. They opened the season with a bad loss to the Bucs, losing 37-20, but the offense looked good and they played a lot better in their last one. They are coming off their 1st win of the season, beating the Giants at home 21-18. Meanwhile, the Bengals haven't looked good in their games this season with their 0-2 record overall. They are coming off a tough road loss to the Chiefs in their last one, only losing that game by 1 point, but they had many opportunities to win it and couldn't do it. They also lost their season opener at home to the Patriots who aren't a strong team offensively. The Commanders don't have a great defense, but they did show some improvements last week. They do have a better offense with Jayden Daniels though and they will be able to keep up with the Bengals offense which hasn't looked great in their 2 games. The Bengals did play against 2 better defenses, but scoring 10 points at home is not a good look considering the talent they have on this team. They were a lot better last week but they are still struggling to find their rhythm on the field and the Commanders can take advantage of that to keep this game a closer one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Commanders to cover the spread in this game.
Commanders Bengals Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, September 23, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Bengals 24 Commanders 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Washington Commanders: 5-9 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 2-7 ATS after playing a division game. 8-4 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 5-1 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
Cincinnati Bengals: 15-8 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 7-1 ATS in non-conference games. 13-4 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 7-3 OVER in non-conference games. 8-5 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses.
Key Injuries
Washington Commanders: Z. Ertz (TE) Injured - NIR-Rest. D. Armstrong (DE) Injured - Chest. C. Ferrell (DE) Injured - Knee. Q. Martin (DB) Injured - Hamstring. E. Forbes (CB) Injured - Thumb. J. Newton (DT) Injured - Foot. B. Coleman (OT) Injured - Ankle.
Cincinnati Bengals: V. Bell (SAF) Injured - Back. S. Rankins (DT) Injured - Hamstring. M. Gesicki (TE) Injured - Calf. B. Hill (DT) Injured - Hamstring. T. Hudson (TE) Injured - Knee. J. Burrow (QB) Injured - Wrist. T. Higgins (WR) Injured - Hamstring. K. Jenkins (DT) Injured - Thumb. A. Mims (OT) Injured - Pectoral.
Notable Quotes
“I feel blessed. Can’t really complain. It wasn’t the prettiest game, but a win is a win.” - Jayden Daniels after their win against the Giants in their last game.
“You know, it’s one of those plays where we might benefit from that at some point this season. That’s what I told the guys. They’re calling it like they see it. I thought they called a very fair game, and they saw that as a penalty. So they called a penalty.” - Zac Taylor after his team’s loss against the Chiefs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Brown, Dyami
WR McCaffrey, Luke
TE Ertz, Zach
QB Daniels, Jayden
RB Robinson Jr., Brian
Cincinnati Bengals
WR Chase, Ja'Marr
WR Irwin, Trenton
WR Iosivas, Andrei
TE Gesicki, Mike
QB Burrow, Joe
RB Moss, Zack
Statistical Leaders
Washington Commanders
Passing: J. Daniels (410)
Rushing: B. Robinson (173)
Receiving: A. Ekeler (99)
Touchdowns: J. Daniels (2)
Cincinnati Bengals
Passing: J. Burrow (422)
Rushing: Z. Moss (78)
Receiving: M. Gesicki (109)
Touchdowns: A. Iosivas (2)
Coaches:
Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (1st season)
Cincinnati Bengals: Zac Taylor (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
