Washington Capitals vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/25/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 24, 2025
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 25, 2025
Venue:  Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB 
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Capitals +114, Jets -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Capitals +115, Jets -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Capitals +115, Jets -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Washington Capitals:  47-15-8 (1st place, Metropolitan Division)
Winnipeg Jets:  48-19-4 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Washington Capitals:  9-1-0 last 10
Winnipeg Jets:  6-4-0 last 10



Washington Capitals vs Winnipeg Jets Preview and Analysis


The Capitals are entering this game with 102 points, a 47-15-8 record overall, and they are 23-8-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Florida Panthers in their last game, winning that one at home 6-3. Connor McMichael, Tom Wilson, Anthony Beauvillier, John Carlson, Andrew Mangiapane, and Dylan Strome each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Martin Fehérváry and Alexander Ovechkin each led the team in assists with 2 while Alexander Ovechkin led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 36 shots with 33 saves and a .917 save percentage. Their offense has scored 257 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 181 goals against them allowing 2.6 goals per game.


The Jets are entering this game with 100 points, a 48-19-4 record overall, and they are 25-6-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Buffalo Sabres in their last game, losing that one at home 5-3. Nikolaj Ehlers, Colin Miller, and Nino Niederreiter each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Logan Stanley led the team in assists with 2 while Nikolaj Ehlers, Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor, and Josh Morrissey each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Eric Comrie was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 16 shots with 12 saves and a .750 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 246 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 170 goals against them allowing 2.4 goals per game.


Capitals vs Jets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Capitals listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They have looked great in their games this season with their 47-15-8 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the East with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have also been a great road team this year with their 23-8-2 road record. Meanwhile, the Jets have looked great in their games this season with their 48-19-4 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have also looked great on home ice with their 25-6-4 home record this season. They have looked good lately, but they are only 6-4-0 in their last 10 games and now they are coming off a loss to the Sabres in their last one. They lost that game at home to one of the worst teams in the East and the Capitals can take advantage of them in a bit of a slump now. The Capitals have been really hot lately as they are 9-1-0 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row. They are also going to be rested for this game and they are coming off a big win over the Panthers in their last one. The Capitals have been rolling lately and the Jets are the closest team to them in the full league standings so they are going to bring their best effort to show they are the best team in the NHL. The best way to place a bet here is on the Capitals to win this game. 

Capitals Jets Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, March 25, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Capitals 3 Jets 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Washington Capitals: 9-17 (-12.1 units) on the moneyline after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game. 85-88 (-12.5 units) on the moneyline against poor power play killing teams - opp score on over 17.5% of chances. 48-45 (-4.9 units) on the moneyline in non-conference games. 31-15 UNDER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more.

Winnipeg Jets: 34-26 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 82-57 (+22.2 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 79-41 (+22.8 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 51-35 UNDER in non-conference games.

Key Injuries


Washington Capitals:  S. Milano (LW) Out - Upper-body. N. Backstrom (C) Out For Season - Hip. T. Oshie (RW) Out For Season - Back.

Winnipeg Jets:  N. Pionk (D) Out - Lower Body.


Notable Quotes


“We’re fine [after one period] and then in the second period, boom, right out of the gate, we put them back on their heels, score on a face-off play, and then just took over the game there.” - Spencer Carbery after his team’s win against the Panthers in their game on Saturday.


“(We had) triple the amount of scoring chances. Their goaltender was great. Played great." - Scott Arniel after his team’s loss against the Sabres in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Washington Capitals
LW Alex Ovechkin
C Dylan Strome
RW Tom Wilson
LD Rasmus Sandin
RD John Carlson
G Logan Thompson

Winnipeg Jets
LW Kyle Connor
C Mark Scheifele
RW Gabriel Vilardi
LD Josh Morrissey
RD Dylan Demelo
G Eric Comrie

Statistical Leaders


Washington Capitals
Points: D. Strome (68)
Goals: A. Ovechkin (35)
Assists: D. Strome (45)
GAA: L. Thompson (2.30)

Winnipeg Jets
Points: K. Connor (86)
Goals: K. Connor (37)
Assists: K. Connor (49)
GAA: C. Hellebuyck (2.06)

Coaches:
Washington Capitals: Spencer Carbery (2nd season)
Winnipeg Jets: Scott Arniel (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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