by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jan 20, 2025
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 21, 2025
Venue: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Capitals +124, Oilers -148; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Capitals +125, Oilers -150; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Capitals +125, Oilers -150; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Season Record
Washington Capitals: 31-10-5 (1st place, Metropolitan Division)
Edmonton Oilers: 29-14-3 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
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Recent Form
Washington Capitals: 7-0-3 last 10
Edmonton Oilers: 8-2-0 last 10
Washington Capitals vs Edmonton Oilers Preview and Analysis
The Capitals are entering this game with 67 points, a 31-10-5 record overall, and they are 15-6-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Pittsburgh Penguins in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1. Pierre-Luc Dubois, Aliaksei Protas, Jakob Chychrun, and Brandon Duhaime each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Nic Dowd and Connor McMichael each led the team in assists with 2 while Tom Wilson led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 19 shots with 18 saves and a .947 save percentage. Their offense has scored 164 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 114 goals against them allowing 2.5 goals per game.
The Oilers are entering this game with 61 points, a 29-14-3 record overall, and they are 15-7-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Vancouver Canucks in their last game, losing that one on the road 3-2. Leon Draisaitl scored 2 goals for them in that one. Connor McDavid and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins each led the team in assists with 1 while Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid, Zach Hyman, and Darnell Nurse each led the team in shots on net in that game with 2. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 27 shots with 24 saves and a .889 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 151 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 126 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.
Capitals vs Oilers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Oilers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Oilers have looked great in their games this season with their 29-14-3 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the West. They have looked a lot better on home ice this season with their 15-7-1 home record and they have been really hot lately. Meanwhile, the Capitals have looked great in their games this season with their 31-10-5 record overall which leads their division in the East with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have been a great road team too with their 15-6-1 road record. They are coming off a win over the Penguins in their last one and they have looked good lately with their 7-0-3 record in their last 10 games, but the Oilers have been even hotter and they are coming off a loss to the Canucks in their last one which they will be looking to bounce back from. They are 8-2-0 in their last 10 games and their defense has looked really good so they have the ability to go toe-to-toe with one of the best defensive teams in the league right now. The Caps are one of the best in the NHL at the moment, but this is the start of a road trip for them while the Oilers are looking to bounce back from a loss in their last one and the home advantage will help the Oilers edge out the Capitals in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Oilers to win this game.
Capitals Oilers Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, January 21, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Oilers 2 Capitals 1.
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NHL Betting Trends
Washington Capitals: 25-30 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline off a home win. 60-80 (-12.1 units) on the moneyline against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game. 72-93 (-24.9 units) on the moneyline against excellent power play teams- scoring on over 17.5% of their chances. 14-5 OVER off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more.
Edmonton Oilers: 23-6 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline off a loss against a division rival. 24-9 (+10.1 units) on the moneyline after playing 3 consecutive road games. 51-21 (+24.1 units) on the moneyline against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more. 5-1 OVER in a home game where the total is 5.5. 8-4 OVER off a road loss against a division rival.
Key Injuries
Washington Capitals: S. Milano (LW) Out - Upper-body. N. Backstrom (C) Out For Season - Hip. T. Oshie (RW) Out For Season - Back.
Edmonton Oilers: E. Kane (LW) Out - Knee. A. Regula (D) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"No matter what type of game it is, we found a way. There's some games where we have a lot of goals and we have some cushion, and there's games where it's tight, we give them a little bit of life there, but the kind of squash it and have a good answer." - Tom Wilson after their win against the Penguins in their game on Saturday.
“Two penalties, two power-play goals, that was a big part of it. And then giving up those two was the difference in the game. We were able to get one power-play goal, and they get two, and we lose by one — and usually special teams is the difference of a hockey game.” - Kris Knoblauch after his team’s loss against the Canucks in their game on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
Washington Capitals
LW Alex Ovechkin
C Dylan Strome
RW Connor McMichael
LD Rasmus Sandin
RD John Carlson
G Logan Thompson
Edmonton Oilers
LW Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
C Connor McDavid
RW Zach Hyman
LD Mattias Ekholm
RD Evan Bouchard
G Stuart Skinner
Statistical Leaders
Washington Capitals
Points: D. Strome (46)
Goals: A. Ovechkin (21)
Assists: D. Strome (34)
GAA: L. Thompson (2.09)
Edmonton Oilers
Points: L. Draisaitl (69)
Goals: L. Draisaitl (33)
Assists: C. McDavid (45)
GAA: C. Pickard (2.53)
Coaches:
Washington Capitals: Spencer Carbery (2nd season)
Edmonton Oilers: Kris Knoblauch (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
