by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 15, 2024
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 19, 2024
Venue: Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC
Where to Watch: ACC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UVA +21, Clemson -21; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UVA +21, Clemson -21; Over/Under: 57.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UVA +21.5, Clemson -21.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Season Record
Virginia Cavaliers: 4-2 (2-1) (7th place, ACC)
Clemson Tigers: 5-1 (4-0) (3rd place, ACC)
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Recent Form
Virginia Cavaliers: lost their last game at home against the Louisville Cardinals 24-20.
Clemson Tigers: won their last game on the road against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons 49-14.
Virginia Cavaliers vs Clemson Tigers Preview and Analysis
Virginia is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Louisville 24-20. Anthony Colandrea was the starting QB and he completed 26/45 passes for 279 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Anthony Colandrea led the team in rushing yards with 84. Malachi Fields led the receivers with 129 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Jonas Sanker led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Kam Robinson and Caleb Hardy each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Clemson is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Wake Forest 49-14. Cade Klubnik was the starting QB and he completed 31/41 passes for 309 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Phil Mafah led the team in rushing yards with 108 and 2 TDs. Jake Briningstool led the receivers with 104 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Avieon Terrell led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Barrett Carter, Wade Woodaz, and Ricardo Jones each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kylon Griffin and Khalil Barnes each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Virginia vs Clemson Prediction
The current betting odds have Clemson listed as a 21 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Clemson has looked really good in their games this season with their 5-1 record overall and their 4-0 conference record. They lost their season opener against Georgia, but they have been rolling since then with 5 wins in a row now. They are also 3-0 in their home games this season and have been rolling over their conference opponents lately. Meanwhile, Virginia has looked good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall and their 2-1 conference record. They have looked good in their road games too, going 2-0 in them, but they haven't faced an opponent like this yet. Virginia has been putting up points in their games lately, but their defense has also been giving up a ton of points and that is going to be a problem here. Clemson's offense has been rolling lately as they are on a mission to make it back to the ACC Championship so don't expect them to take their foot off the gas since they haven't been doing that in their games. They are going to put up a ton of points on this Virginia defense, but Virginia won't be able to respond as easily against this better defense. Clemson will be able to pull away in this game and Virginia won't really have a way back in it once this game gets away from them. The best way to place a bet here is on Clemson to cover the spread in this game.
Virginia Clemson Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 19, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Clemson 45 Virginia 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Virginia Cavaliers: 13-6 ATS as an underdog. 8-3 ATS in road lined games. 13-5 ATS against conference opponents. 10-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-3 OVER in road lined games. 6-3 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 7-1 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more.
Clemson Tigers: 2-9 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 4-7 1H ATS after playing their last game on the road. 2-5 1H ATS off a road win. 10-5 1H OVER in home lined games. 7-3 1H OVER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 8-4 1H OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game.
Key Injuries
Virginia Cavaliers: K. Robinson (LB) Questionable - Back. J. Wilson (WR) Questionable - Leg. M. Boley (OT) Questionable - Foot. D. Metcalf (OL) Out - Achilles.
Clemson Tigers: T. Brown (WR) Questionable - Ankle. K. McCloud (LB) Out - Knee. J. Green (RB) Questionable - Leg. T. Howard (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Streko (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“I knew where I was going with the football. I see him catch it and then I just start running down, chasing him. He made a great play and scored.” - Anthony Colandrea after their loss against Louisville in their last game.
“A lot of good things in the game. It was good to see us able to put them away.” - Dabo Swinney after his team’s win against WF in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Virginia Cavaliers
WR Fields, Malachi
WR Harris, Trell
WR Tyree, Chris
TE Neville, Tyler
QB Colandrea, Anthony
RB Pace, Kobe
Clemson Tigers
WR Williams, Antonio
WR Randall, Adam
WR Brown, Tyler
TE Briningstool, Jake
QB Klubnik, Cade
RB Mafah, Phil
Statistical Leaders
Virginia Cavaliers
Passing: A. Colandrea (1490)
Rushing: X. Brown (334)
Receiving: M. Fields (541)
Touchdowns: G. Brosterhous (4)
Clemson Tigers
Passing: C. Klubnik (1528)
Rushing: P. Mafah (614)
Receiving: A. Williams (349)
Touchdowns: A. Williams (5)
Coaches:
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Elliott (3rd season)
Clemson Tigers: Dabo Swinney (17th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
