Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/20/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, November 20, 2024

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights +114, Leafs -135; Over/Under:  6 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights +115, Leafs -135; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights +115, Leafs -135; Over/Under:  6 goals

Vegas Golden Knights:  11-5-2 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  11-6-2 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Vegas Golden Knights:  6-3-1 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  7-2-1 last 10

The Golden Knights are entering this game with 24 points, an 11-5-2 record overall, and they are 3-3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Washington Capitals in their last game, losing that one at home 5-2. Brett Howden and Keegan Kolesar each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jack Eichel, Tomáš Hertl, Tanner Pearson, and Alex Pietrangelo each led the team in assists with 1 while Shea Theodore led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 24 shots with 20 saves and a .833 save percentage. Their offense has scored 72 goals this season averaging 4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 57 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 24 points, an 11-6-2 record overall, and they are 8-3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, winning that one at home 4-3 in overtime. Bobby McMann led the team in goals scored with 2 while Mitchell Marner and Matthew Knies each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mitchell Marner, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, and John Tavares each led the team in assists with 1 while William Nylander led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Anthony Stolarz was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 30 shots with 27 saves and a .900 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 58 goals this season averaging 3.1 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 50 goals against them allowing 2.6 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Maple Leafs have looked good in their games this season with their 11-6-2 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the East. They have also looked great on home ice with their 8-3-0 home record and they are coming off a nice OT win against the Oilers in their last one. Meanwhile, the Golden Knights have also looked good in their games this season with their 11-5-2 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West. They haven't looked great in their games lately though, coming off a loss to the Capitals at home in their last one, and they haven't looked good in their road games either with their 3-3-2 road record. The Golden Knights have been struggling a lot on the road this season and this is a problem that goes back to the end of last season too. They have been putting a ton of pucks in the net this season, but not as many in their road games and the Maple Leafs have the better defense on the season by far. The Maple Leafs have looked a lot better on home ice this season under their new head coach and they will be able to take advantage of the Golden Knights' road troubles this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Maple Leafs to win this game. 

Golden Knights Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, November 20, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Leafs 3 Knights 2.

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Vegas Golden Knights: 126-85 (+18.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 35-29 (+15.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog. 67-47 (+20.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 36-24 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 

Toronto Maple Leafs: 114-85 (-21.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 90-66 (-31.3 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 56-43 (-13.7 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 18-10 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 

Vegas Golden Knights:  B. Hutton (D) Out - Upper Body. M. Stone (RW) Out - Lower Body. N. Hague (D) Out - Undisclosed. L. Cormier (D) Out - Undisclosed. J. Demek (C) Out - Undisclosed. J. Gustafson (C) Out - Undisclosed.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  D. Kampf (C) Out - Lower-body. A. Matthews (C) Day To Day - Upper-body. M. Pacioretty (LW) Out - Lower-body. D. Mermis (D) Out - Upper Body. C. Jarnkrok (C) Out - Lower-body.

“If you’re not going to shoot it, then hang on to it and make a play that’s not too risky or isn’t a whole play. Tonight, there was a little more of that in our game.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s loss against the Capitals in their last game.

“I think it’s a lot, but the league is going to do what they think is the right thing to do. I get it. They’ve come down hard on hits to the head. It’s not like Reavo tried to hit him in the head. It was a tough play.” - Craig Berube on the suspension to Ryan Reaves.

 

LW Ivan Barbashev

C Jack Eichel

RW Pavel Dorofeyev

LD Noah Hanifin

RD Alex Pietrangelo

G Adin Hill

LW Bobby McMann

C John Tavares

RW Mitchell Marner

LD Morgan Rielly

RD Jani Hakanpaa

G Anthony Stolarz

Points: J. Eichel (28)

Goals: P. Dorofeyev (9)

Assists: J. Eichel (23)

GAA: I. Samsonov (3.15)

Points: M. Marner (24)

Goals: W. Nylander (12)

Assists: M. Marner (18)

GAA: A. Stolarz (2.18)

Coaches:

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (3rd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (1st season)