UEFA Euro Cup Group Betting (2024)

Most of the domestic leagues in Europe have come to an end for the season and that means that the 2024 European Championship is right around the corner now. The first match of the competition is set to kick off on Friday, June 14, between Scotland and the host nation Germany. Italy are the defending champions from the 2020 Euro Cup that was played back in 2021. Italy was +1000 to win the tournament back in the 2020 Euro Cup so there is always plenty of value to be found in these competitions, and not just with picking a winner outright. There are many different ways to bet on the competition, one of them being with the various group betting markets, so here is a list of the best bets to make for the group stage of the 2024 Euro Cup.

Scotland +800: Scotland is coming into this competition at +800 to win their group since they are in the same group as the host nation, but there is no reason why they should be priced as the worst team in the group when they are in a group where they are not the worst team by far. Scotland has done a lot to improve over the last year as they have a lot of young talent that has been breaking out for their various teams in the Premier League. Scotland also dominated their group during the qualification stage as they finished 2nd place to Spain but did have a win over the group winners. Scotland is in a group with Germany, Switzerland, and Hungary. Hungary is really the worst team in this group and should be priced accordingly, but even so, they have given Germany a lot of trouble in their recent meetings over the last few years and that is something that is going to help Scotland win this group as Hungary will steal some points with some draws from the others. Switzerland is priced as the 2nd best team in this group but they were not that good in their group of the qualifying phase as they struggled to beat some of the weaker teams in their group and ended up with a lot of draws which made winning the 2nd spot very close in the end. Finally, Germany is priced as the heavy favorite in this group due to being the host nation, but that is completely absurd for a team that has not played in a meaningful competition since failing to make it out of the group stage at the last World Cup in 2022, and for a team that has also failed to make it out of the group stage in 2 of their last 3 competitions on the world stage. Germany is also transitioning to a new manager as they sacked their manager after the last World Cup, but they have not had a real match to play in under their new manager and Scotland gets them on opening night which could spell trouble for the host nation. Scotland has the quality to win this group and are in the best situation to do so. There is a lot of value in Scotland at +800 to win Group A.

Spain -125: Spain is coming into this competition at -125 to win their group and they are the best team in their group despite having some stronger competition. Spain has improved a lot over the last few years as they made it past the group stage at the last Euro Cup and the last World Cup as well, but they finally showed some results last year in the UEFA Nations League Final as they were the ones to win it. This team has been growing over the last year and they are only going to be hungry to go deep into this tournament. They are in a group with Italy, Croatia, and Albania. Albania was able to qualify from the group qualifications as they were heating up to end their campaign in that group, but they also played in a much weaker group and did not have a lot of strong opponents to play against. They had it too easy in the group qualifying, but now they are in one of the stronger groups in this tournament and it will be tough for them to steal a point from any of the teams. Croatia could be a threat in this group as they finished 3rd at the last World Cup and have had a lot of success on the world stage over the last few years, making quite a few deep runs in these competitions over the last few years, but this is also a Croatia squad that has been aging and as much experience as they have on their side, these players are still 2 years older than they were at the World Cup and a few of their core players are nearing the ends of their careers as well. Croatia can still be a threat in this tournament, but Spain has the talent to deal with them as they actually beat Croatia in the UEFA Nations League Final last year. Italy are the defending champions of this tournament but a lot has happened since they won the 2020 Euro Cup. Italy missed the last World Cup in 2022 after winning the 2020 Euro Cup and now they are in a transition phase with a new manager who has completely changed the style of play that this team has been used to for years. Italy could be a threat since they did win less than 4 years ago and have a much better manager now that has injected some youth into the squad, but there is still too much instability with this team which will give Spain an advantage when they play. Spain also beat them in the UEFA Nations League Semi Final last year. Spain has been a much improved team over the last few years and they are good enough to win this whole tournament so there is a lot of value at this price to win their group. Spain will win Group B at -125.

Poland -138: Poland is coming into this competition priced at the bottom of their group and for good reason. They are -138 to finish at the bottom of the group. They did get out of the group at the last World Cup, but they only went 1-1-1 in the group stage and made it out on goal difference. Poland is already a much weaker team that has been on the decline over the last few years despite still finding ways to qualify for these tournaments, but that good fortune is coming to an end soon. They are in a group with France, Netherlands, and Austria. France is the favorite to win the group and that is no surprise as they went to the final of the last World Cup and have been a dominant force in these competitions over the last few years, winning the World Cup back in 2018 and going deep in every competition since then. France has one of the best teams in the world and there is no way that Poland rips away any points from them as they did lose 3-1 to France at the last World Cup as well. Netherlands is next in the group and it is tough to see Poland ripping away any points from them either. Netherlands was in the final four of the UEFA Nations League last year as well as making it past the group stage at the last World Cup, losing to Argentina who went on to win it all. They have a very good team that is clinical with their decision making on the pitch and they are not going to have much trouble getting out of this group, other than their match against France who they struggled against in the qualification group. Austria is the 3rd team in this group and the one that Poland would likely be fighting with, but Austria was a dominant team in their qualifying group and have improved a lot over the last year with a lot of talented players in their squad having break out seasons at their domestic league clubs. Austria is going to be a real threat in this group to be one of the teams that qualifies in 3rd place and this is really the team Poland will need a result against to avoid the bottom of the group, but Austria has been improving while Poland has been on the decline so as it stands, Austria has the much better squad in this tournament. Poland is going to finish at the bottom of this group and they will fail to qualify out of the group stage. There is a lot of value in Poland at -138 to finish at the bottom of Group D.

Slovakia -125: Slovakia is coming into this competition at -125 to finish at the bottom of their group. Slovakia was a dominant team in their group during the qualifying stage as they won every match in the group except for 2 which they lost, but both of those losses came against Portugal who was the team to finish higher than them. They were very good against every other opponent in the group, but they also had one of the weakest qualifying groups with teams like San Marino, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Iceland, and Bosnia. They did not really play any strong opponents in that group and that is going to be very different here as they are in a group with Belgium, Ukraine, and Romania. Belgium is the big favorite to win this group and they are really the only real powerhouse team in this group so on the surface it does not look so bad for Slovakia, but the other 2 teams in the group are certainly no pushovers despite not being powerhouses. Belgium failed to make it out of the group stage at the last World Cup but they dominated the qualifying group for this tournament and are by far the best team in this group. Belgium will also be playing with something to prove here after failing to get out of the group stage at the last World Cup. Ukraine is listed as the 2nd team in this group and although they do not have a real star on their team, they still have a lot of talented players that have been having great seasons like some of their Premier League players. Ukraine also has a bit of an advantage here since they have not been able to play home matches at home for a while now so they have plenty of experience playing at neutral locations over the last few years. Romania comes in as the 3rd team in this group but they actually had a very impressive campaign in the qualifying group. They won their group in the qualifying phase and beat out Switzerland who was the favorite to win that group. Romania is another team that has been improving over the last year and although they are not a real threat to win this group, Slovakia is certainly a team they can beat as Romania will be right there fighting for a 3rd place qualification. Slovakia is not in a group with a lot of overpowering teams, but they will still be lucky to even get a point in this group. There is a lot of value in Slovakia at -125 to finish at the bottom of Group E.

Scotland -138: Scotland was already covered earlier as a possible group winner for Group A and they are coming into this competition at -138 to qualify out of the group stage. For all the same reasons mentioned above, Scotland has a real chance to win this group with the way they have been building their squad over the last year so there is a lot of value in Scotland at -138 to qualify from the group stage as they have the ability to win this group and even if they cannot win the group, they are sure to finish high enough to qualify.

Austria -110: Austria is coming into this competition at -110 to qualify from the group stage. This is a reasonable price since they are the 3rd best team in the group from a talent perspective, sitting behind 2 powerhouse teams in France and the Netherlands, but considering the way this qualification works with the 4 best teams that finished in 3rd place advancing, this is a very good price for an Austria team that has a very good squad and will find themselves qualifying in the 3rd place spot. It will be tough for them to rip points away from France with the form France has been in over the last year, but the Netherlands have been vulnerable with their defense so it would not be shocking to see Austria come away with a draw there. Even if they do not, Austria is going to beat Poland as they are the better team that has been improving over the last year while Poland has been on the decline, and that 3 points alone could be enough for Austria to qualify. Austria has a very underrated squad coming into this tournament and they have a team that can do some real damage. There is a lot of value in Austria at -110 to qualify from the group stage.