Tulane Green Wave vs Florida Gators Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/20/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Friday, December 20, 2024

Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tulane +14, Florida -14; Over/Under:  50 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tulane +14, Florida -14; Over/Under:  49.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tulane +14, Florida -14; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Tulane Green Wave:  9-4 (7-1) (2nd place, AAC)

Florida Gators:  7-5 (4-4) (10th place, SEC)

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Tulane Green Wave:  lost their last game on the road against the Army Black Knights 35-14.

Florida Gators:  won their last game on the road against the Florida State Seminoles 31-11.

Tulane is entering this game with a 9-4 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 5-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against Army 35-14. Darian Mensah was the starting QB and he completed 17/25 passes for 209 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Makhi Hughes led the team in rushing yards with 66. Mario Williams led the receivers with 109 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Sam Howard led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Florida is entering this game with a 7-5 record overall and they have a 4-4 record in their conference games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Florida State 31-11. DJ Lagway was the starting QB and he completed 14/22 passes for 133 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Montrell Johnson Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 99 and 1 TD. Chimere Dike led the receivers with 63 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Cam Jackson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Cam Jackson and Jaden Robinson each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Florida listed as a 14 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has looked good in their games this season with their 7-5 record overall which was enough to get them to this Gasparilla Bowl, but their 4-4 conference record still has them in the middle of the SEC. It wasn't a great season for Florida, but they ended the regular season with a big win over Florida State and they have a head coach that is still fighting to keep his job, trying to turn this program around. Meanwhile, Tulane has looked really good in their games this season with their 9-4 record overall and their 7-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the AAC. They even made the AAC Championship in Sumrall's first season as head coach, but they got blown out by Army in the AAC Championship. Their head coach won't be going anywhere after 1 season, but they won't have their starting QB for this game and that will be a big issue. Their offense wasn't great in their game against Army and Florida has looked pretty good on defense over the last few weeks. This game is also going to be in Tampa which gives Florida a bit of a home advantage here. Tulane is still going to have the disappointment of losing their championship game while Florida was starting to look a lot better in the final weeks of the season and will be looking to end the year the right way. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game. 

Tulane Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, December 20, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Florida 34 Tulane 17.

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Tulane Green Wave: 24-12 ATS in all lined games. 14-5 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 10-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 10-5 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 12-6 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 5-1 OVER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.

Florida Gators: 2-5 ATS in minor bowl games (played in December). 6-13 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders. 10-5 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 10-5 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 12-6 OVER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

Tulane Green Wave:  None.

Florida Gators:  D. George (OL) Out - Undisclosed. A. Gates (DB) Out - Undisclosed. G. Howard (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Jackson (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Kearney (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Manuel (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Moore (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Turner (DB) Questionable - Shoulder. T. Webb (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Wilson (WR) Out - Hip. J. Marshall (DB) Out - Shoulder. G. Mertz (QB) Out - Knee. K. Jackson (WR) Out - Knee. J. Lyons (DL) Out - Ankle.

“When you start slow the way we did, missing two field goals early, you don’t do yourselves any favors because once they get a lead, a couple scores, it’s really, really hard to overcome.” - Jon Sumrall after his team’s loss against Army in the AAC Championship.

“Defensively we were really lights out. We had a season high in TFLs and sacks. We created some takeaways and were able to take advantage of those.” - Billy Napier after his team’s win against FSU in their season finale. 

WR Fleming, Dontae 

WR Williams, Mario 

WR Brown, Yulkeith

TE Bauman, Alex 

QB Thompson, Ty  

RB Hughes, Makhi 

WR Dike, Chimere

WR Burke, Marcus

WR Mizell, Aidan

TE Hansen, Hayden

QB Lagway, DJ 

RB Johnson Jr., Montrell 

Passing: D. Mensah (2723)

Rushing: M. Hughes (1372)

Receiving: M. Williams (940)

Touchdowns: M. Hughes (17)

Passing: D. Lagway (1610)

Rushing: J. Baugh (603)

Receiving: E. Badger (789)

Touchdowns: J. Baugh (8)

Coaches:

Tulane Green Wave: Jon Sumrall (1st season)

Florida Gators: Billy Napier (3rd season)