Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 5, 2021
Venue: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Leafs -120, Jets +100; Over/Under: NL goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Leafs -120, Jets +100; Over/Under: 6 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Leafs -130, Jets +110; Over/Under: 6 goals
Season Record
Toronto Maple Leafs: 17-6-1 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)
Winnipeg Jets: 11-8-4 (4th place, Central Division)
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Toronto Maple Leafs: 9-1-0 last 10
Winnipeg Jets: 4-5-1 last 10
Toronto Maple Leafs Analysis
The Leafs are coming into this game with 35 points, a 17-6-1 record overall, and they are 7-3-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 10 of their last 11 games and they are coming into this one on a 5 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Pittsburgh Penguins while their 10 wins in that span came against the Philadelphia Flyers, the Calgary Flames, the Buffalo Sabres, the Nashville Predators, the New York Rangers, the New York Islanders, the Los Angeles Kings, the San Jose Sharks, the Anaheim Ducks, and the Colorado Avalanche in their last game. They still have a game on Saturday night against the Minnesota Wild that needs to be played first with that result pending so this will be the 2nd leg of a back-to-back in this game on Sunday night. Auston Matthews led the team in scoring in that game against the Avs with 3 goals while John Tavares, William Nylander, Travis Dermott, Pierre Engvall, and Jason Spezza all scored 1 goal as well. Michael Bunting led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Tavares, Alexander Kerfoot, and Mitch Marner all had 2 assists each in that one. Nylander, T.J. Brodie, Jake Muzzin, Morgan Rielly, Nick Ritchie, and Wayne Simmonds all had 1 assist each in that one as well. Matthews led the team in shots on goal in that game with 8 shots on net. Jack Campbell was the starting goaltender in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 31 shots with 28 saves and a .903 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 74 goals in their 24 games this season averaging 3.1 goals scored per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 52 goals against them allowing 2.2 goals per game.
Winnipeg Jets Analysis
The Jets are coming into this game with 26 points, an 11-8-4 record overall, and they are 8-3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of another win in their last game. Their last loss came against the Arizona Coyotes while their 2 wins in that span came against the Calgary Flames and the New Jersey Devils in their last game. Mark Scheifele led the team in goals in that game with 3 while Nikolaj Ehlers scored 2 goals as well. Adam Lowry, Josh Morrissey, and Kristian Vesalainen all scored 1 goal each in that one as well. Blake Wheeler led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Pierre-Luc Dubois and Neal Pionk both had 2 assists each as well. Scheifele, Kyle Connor, Andrew Copp, Brenden Dillon, Jansen Harkins, Logan Stanley, Paul Stastny, and Connor Hellebuyck all had 1 assist each in that one as well. Morrissey led the team in shots on goal in that one with 6 shots on net. Connor Hellebuyck was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 37 shots with 33 saves and a .892 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 68 goals in their 23 games this season averaging a little under 3 goals scored per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 65 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.
Maple Leafs vs Jets Prediction
The Leafs are coming into this game as a -120 favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams are coming off of games that they scored 8 goals each in but the Leafs have been playing much better than the Jets have been and the Leafs are one of the hottest teams in the NHL right now. They have been scoring a lot of goals and their goalkeeping has been great in their games. They are going to keep rolling against the Jets who have been playing well but not nearly as well as the Leafs have been with the streak that they are on. This is a very cheap price for the Leafs with the way that they are playing right now so the best bet to place in this game is one the Leafs to win this game straight up.
Maple Leafs Jets Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Sunday, December 5, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 5 Jets 3.
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NHL Betting Trends
Toronto Maple Leafs: 963-1002 (-137.2 units) in all games. 182-228 (-15.6 units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5. 435-426 (-37.3 units) first half of the season. 362-402 (-90.2 units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.
Winnipeg Jets: 148-125 (+14.3 units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 110-101 (+18.8 units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread. 75-55 (+28.4 units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games.
Key Injuries
Toronto Maple Leafs: M. Marner (RW) Prob Sat - Undisclosed injury. M. Rielly (D) Prob Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Woll (G) Prob Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Winnipeg Jets: None.
Notable Quotes
“Really good effort from everybody. Playing a really good team with a lot of really dangerous players, you know that they’re going to get their push and they’re going to get their opportunities.” - Auston Matthews on their win against the Avalanche on Wednesday night.
“You’ll have games where you don’t win those games and then, there will be games later down the road that we don’t deserve to win, and we will find a way to win. We just have to try and stay positive with it and just keep working because no one is going to feel bad for us.” - Paul Stastny on their loss against the Coyotes on Monday night.
Starting Lineups
Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Bunting, Michael
C Matthews, Auston
RW Marner, Mitchell
LD Rielly, Morgan
RD Brodie, TJ
G Campbell, Jack
Winnipeg Jets
LW Connor, Kyle
C Scheifele, Mark
RW Wheeler, Blake
LD Morrissey, Joshua
RD Schmidt, Nate
G Connor Hellebuyck
Statistical Leaders
Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: J. Tavares (25)
Goals: A. Matthews (13)
Assists: M. Marner (15)
GAA: J. Woll (1.67)
Winnipeg Jets
Points: K. Connor (25)
Goals: K. Connor (14)
Assists: A. Copp (12)
GAA: E. Comrie (2.49)
Coaches:
Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (3rd season)
Winnipeg Jets: Paul Maurice (9th season)