by Rod Pearson
Friday, Mar 28, 2025
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 29, 2025
Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Leafs +120, Kings -142; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Leafs +120, Kings -140; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Leafs +120, Kings -140; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Season Record
Toronto Maple Leafs: 43-25-4 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
Los Angeles Kings: 40-22-9 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
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Recent Form
Toronto Maple Leafs: 5-4-1 last 10
Los Angeles Kings: 8-2-0 last 10
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Los Angeles Kings Preview and Analysis
The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 90 points, a 43-25-4 record overall, and they are 20-12-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the San Jose Sharks in their last game, losing that one on the road 6-5 in a shootout. William Nylander led the team in goals scored with 2 while Auston Matthews, John Tavares, and Scott Laughton each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mitchell Marner led the team in assists with 3 while Bobby McMann led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Joseph Woll was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 35 shots with 30 saves and a .857 save percentage. Their offense has scored 236 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 216 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.
The Kings are entering this game with 89 points, a 40-22-9 record overall, and they are 26-3-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-0. No one on the team scored a goal for them or recorded an assist in that one. Quinton Byfield, Joel Edmundson, Adrian Kempe, and Trevor Moore each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. David Rittich was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 26 shots with 22 saves and a .846 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 206 goals this season averaging 2.9 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 182 goals against them allowing 2.5 goals per game.
Maple Leafs vs Kings Prediction
The current betting odds have the Kings listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Kings have looked really good in their games this season with their 40-22-9 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the West and in a playoff spot. They have looked great on their home ice too with their 26-3-4 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs have looked really good in their games this season with their 43-25-4 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 20-12-3 road record this season, but lately they haven't looked good. They are only 5-4-1 in their last 10 games and they are coming off a terrible loss to the Sharks in their last one, the Sharks being the worst team in the NHL this season. Now they are playing one of the best home teams in the NHL, and the Kings have been rolling lately too. They are coming off a road loss to the Avalanche in their last one, getting shut out 4-0 in that one, but they will be looking to bounce back at home where they have been much better this season. They are 8-2-0 in their last 10 games too so getting shut out in that loss is only going to motivate them more here. The Kings are not the kind of team to be fading at home when they are playing this good, especially against a Maple Leafs team that has looked shaky at best lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kings to win this game.
Maple Leafs Kings Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Saturday, March 29, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Kings 5 Leafs 3.
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NHL Betting Trends
Toronto Maple Leafs: 28-25 (+8.7 units) on the moneyline as an underdog. 63-39 (+9.9 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive losses. 66-52 (+6.8 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 38-23 UNDER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more.
Los Angeles Kings: 132-112 (-8.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 22-30 (-11.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 80-62 (-12 units) on the moneyline against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game. 10-3 UNDER after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game.
Key Injuries
Toronto Maple Leafs: M. Pacioretty (LW) Out - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out - Knee.
Los Angeles Kings: T. Jeannot (LW) Day To Day - Undisclosed. A. Turcotte (C) Day To Day - Upper Body.
Notable Quotes
"We did a great job at the end of the game to get a point. We had a lot of good looks in OT that didn't go in. We didn't play well in the first period." - Craig Berube after his team’s loss against the Sharks in their game on Thursday.
“We didn't have our best stuff, there's no question. We didn't connect on much. I just didn't think we were very good. We didn't give them a lot, but we just didn't create much ourselves. Just weren't sharp.” - Jim Hiller after his team’s loss against the Avalanche in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Matthew Knies
C Auston Matthews
RW Mitchell Marner
LD Morgan Rielly
RD Brandon Carlo
G Joseph Woll
Los Angeles Kings
LW Andrei Kuzmenko
C Anze Kopitar
RW Adrian Kempe
LD Mikey Anderson
RD Drew Doughty
G David Rittich
Statistical Leaders
Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: M. Marner (89)
Goals: W. Nylander (42)
Assists: M. Marner (67)
GAA: A. Stolarz (2.40)
Los Angeles Kings
Points: A. Kempe (58)
Goals: A. Kempe (29)
Assists: A. Kopitar (39)
GAA: D. Kuemper (2.10)
Coaches:
Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (1st season)
Los Angeles Kings: Jim Hiller (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
