by Rod Pearson
Monday, Apr 15, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, April 16, 2024
Venue: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Leafs +110, Panthers -130; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Leafs +110, Panthers -130; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Leafs +110, Panthers -130; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
Season Record
Toronto Maple Leafs: 46-24-10 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
Florida Panthers: 51-24-6 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)
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Recent Form
Toronto Maple Leafs: 6-3-1 last 10
Florida Panthers: 5-4-1 last 10
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Preview and Analysis
The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 102 points, a 46-24-10 record overall, and they are 24-9-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Detroit Red Wings in their last game, losing that one at home 5-4 in overtime. Mitchell Marner, Auston Matthews, Nicholas Robertson, and John Tavares each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Mitchell Marner and Morgan Rielly each led the team in assists with 2 while Auston Matthews led the team in shots on net in that game with 10. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 32 shots with 27 saves and a .844 save percentage. Their offense has scored 297 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 252 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.
The Panthers are entering this game with 108 points, a 51-24-6 record overall, and they are 25-13-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Buffalo Sabres in their last game, winning that one at home 3-2 in overtime. Anton Lundell, Sam Reinhart, and Kevin Stenlund each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Aleksander Barkov, Nick Cousins, and Matthew Tkachuk each led the team in assists with 1 while Matthew Tkachuk led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Sergei Bobrovsky was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 29 shots with 27 saves and a .931 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 263 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 198 goals against them allowing 2.4 goals per game.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Panthers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Panthers have looked great in their games this season with their 51-24-6 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the East. They have looked great on home ice this year with their 25-13-2 home record too. The Panthers have fallen out of the race for the Presidents' Trophy this year, but they still have a chance to finish in 1st place of their division, but they need to win this final game of the regular season. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs have looked great in their games this season with their 46-24-10 record overall, but that record has them in 3rd place of their division in the East. They have looked better in their road games this year with their 24-9-6 road record, but this is also a game they don't need to try in. The Leafs still have 2 games left in the regular season but they can't move up or down in the standings, locked into 3rd place in their division. The Panthers may have some really slim chances to win the division this season, but they still have a chance so they actually do have something to play for here on home ice. The Panthers also have a lot more momentum on their side right now since the Leafs have lost 2 games in a row now while the Panthers have won 3 games in a row and are rolling into the playoffs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Panthers to win this game.
Maple Leafs Panthers Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, April 16, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Panthers 4 Maple Leafs 1.
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NHL Betting Trends
Toronto Maple Leafs: 158-103 (-20 units) on the moneyline in all games. 36-30 (-20 units) on the moneyline after playing 2 consecutive home games. 24-19 (-13.9 units) on the moneyline after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more. 8-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses. 8-4 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.
Florida Panthers: 168-108 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 20-9 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline off a home win against a division rival. 44-23 (+11.1 units) on the moneyline after a 3 game unbeaten streak. 14-6 UNDER after a 3 game unbeaten streak. 19-6 UNDER vs. division opponents. 23-14 UNDER in a home game where the total is 6 or more.
Key Injuries
Toronto Maple Leafs: B. McMann (C) Ques Tues - Lower Body. J. Edmundson (D) Ques Tues - Undisclosed. C. Jarnkrok (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.
Florida Panthers: O. Ekman-Larsson (D) Ques Tues - Upper Body. A. Ekblad (D) Late April - Undisclosed. C. Verhaeghe (C) Out indefinitely - Upper Body.
Notable Quotes
“I felt our team was gonna be better. And I felt Sammy needed to be a part of that. Glad it worked out the way it did, because he was outstanding.” - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s loss against the Red Wings in their game on Saturday.
“We're excited about the challenge ahead. It's starting for real pretty soon. Do what you can to get home-ice advantage. That’s the beauty of playoffs; at the end of the day, it’s a battle, it’s a war, Game 1. And we’re looking forward to that.” - Sam Reinhart after their win against the Sabres in their game on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Bertuzzi, Tyler
C Matthews, Auston
RW Marner, Mitchell
LD Rielly, Morgan
RD Lyubushkin, Ilya
G Woll, Joseph
Florida Panthers
LW Tarasenko, Vladimir
C Barkov, Aleksander
RW Reinhart, Sam
LD Forsling, Gustav
RD Kulikov, Dmitry
G Bobrovsky, Sergei
Statistical Leaders
Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: A. Matthews (107)
Goals: A. Matthews (69)
Assists: M. Marner (58)
GAA: M. Jones (2.70)
Florida Panthers
Points: S. Reinhart (92)
Goals: S. Reinhart (55)
Assists: M. Tkachuk (60)
GAA: A.Stolarz (2.03)
Coaches:
Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)
Florida Panthers: Paul Maurice (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
