Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, April 8, 2025
Venue: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Leafs -120, Panthers +100; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Leafs -120, Panthers +100; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Leafs -115, Panthers -105; Over/Under: 5.5 goals
Season Record
Toronto Maple Leafs: 47-25-4 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
Florida Panthers: 44-29-4 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
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Recent Form
Toronto Maple Leafs: 8-1-1 last 10
Florida Panthers: 3-6-1 last 10
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Preview and Analysis
The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 98 points, a 47-25-4 record overall, and they are 22-12-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Columbus Blue Jackets in their last game, winning that one at home 5-0. William Nylander and Nicholas Robertson each led the team in goals scored with 2 while Auston Matthews scored 1 goal for them in that one. Morgan Rielly led the team in assists with 2 while Matthew Knies led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Anthony Stolarz was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 27 shots with 27 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 250 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 221 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.
The Panthers are entering this game with 92 points, a 44-29-4 record overall, and they are 24-11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Detroit Red Wings in their last game, losing that one on the road 2-1. Anton Lundell scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mackie Samoskevich and Carter Verhaeghe each led the team in assists with 1 while Carter Verhaeghe led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Vitek Vanecek was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 24 shots with 22 saves and a .917 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 238 goals this season averaging 3.1 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 209 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Maple Leafs have looked really good in their games this season with their 47-25-4 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have also been a good road team this year with their 22-12-3 road record. Meanwhile, the Panthers have looked good in their games this season with their 44-29-4 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked great on home ice this season with their 24-11-2 home record too. The Panthers were once in a position to win this division a few weeks ago, but lately they haven't looked good and have fallen down to 3rd place in the division now. They are in a big slump too, going 3-6-1 in their last 10 games and they have lost 5 games in a row now too. The Maple Leafs have been really hot though, going 8-1-1 in their last 10 games, and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. They just beat the Panthers at home a few days ago and they are still fighting to win the division with the Lightning now on their tail. The Maple Leafs have looked a lot better lately and they can take advantage of this slumping Panthers team that has been struggling to score goals lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Maple Leafs to win this game.
Maple Leafs Panthers Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, April 8, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 3 Panthers 2.
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NHL Betting Trends
Toronto Maple Leafs: 48-36 (-16.7 units) on the moneyline as a road favorite. 18-16 (-12.5 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 83-70 (-7.3 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 30-21 UNDER after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 19-11 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive unders.
Florida Panthers: 28-28 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog. 28-14 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline after playing 3 consecutive road games. 44-31 (+10.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 47-27 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 19-12 UNDER in a home game where the total is 5.5.
Key Injuries
Toronto Maple Leafs: D. Kampf (C) Day To Day - Upper Body. J. McCabe (D) Day To Day - Undisclosed. M. Pacioretty (LW) Out - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out - Knee.
Florida Panthers: G. Forsling (D) Day To Day - Rest. S. Bennett (C) Day To Day - Rest. S. Reinhart (C) Day To Day - Rest. D. Kulikov (D) Out - Upper-Body. N. Sturm (C) Day To Day - Upper Body. A. Barkov (C) Out - Upper-body. M. Tkachuk (LW) Out - Groin.
Notable Quotes
“Staying in games, tight games where it’s tight checking. Not opening it up, not forcing things and getting frustrated and then taking it over in the third period. That’s the biggest thing I can tell you about what I like right now.” - Craig Berube after his team’s win against the Blue Jackets in their game on Saturday.
“You want every advantage you can get, home ice and all that, but we’ve got to heal these guys. We have to give ourselves a chance to play physically in the playoffs and our schedule won’t allow that right now.” - Paul Maurice after his team’s loss against the Red Wings in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Matthew Knies
C Auston Matthews
RW Mitchell Marner
LD Morgan Rielly
RD Brandon Carlo
G Anthony Stolarz
Florida Panthers
LW Eetu Luostarinen
C Anton Lundell
RW Brad Marchand
LD Niko Mikkola
RD Seth Jones
G Sergei Bobrovsky
Statistical Leaders
Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: M. Marner (94)
Goals: W. Nylander (44)
Assists: M. Marner (70)
GAA: A. Stolarz (2.26)
Florida Panthers
Points: S. Reinhart (78)
Goals: S. Reinhart (37)
Assists: A. Barkov (48)
GAA: S. Bobrovsky (2.44)
Coaches:
Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (1st season)
Florida Panthers: Paul Maurice (3rd season)