Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/02/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Aug 01, 2024
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, August 2, 2024
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  YES


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +136, Yankees -162; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +135, Yankees -160; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +135, Yankees -160; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  50-59 (5th place, AL East)
New York Yankees:  65-45 (2nd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10
New York Yankees:  6-4 last 10



Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Blue Jays are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-59 record overall and have a road record of 24-31. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .694 OPS. Paolo Espino was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Kevin Gausman is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 9-8 with a 4.44 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 8 Ks on 4 hits through 9 IP against the Texas Rangers.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-45 record overall and have a home record of 27-23. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .771 OPS. Nestor Cortes Jr. was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Marcus Stroman is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-5 with a 3.64 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 0 strikeouts on 9 hits through 3.1 innings played against the Boston Red Sox.


Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 65-45 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East and right behind the Orioles in 1st place. They haven't looked as good in their road games this year with their 27-23 road record. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have looked terrible in their games this season with their 50-59 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AL East and well out of the playoff race. They haven't looked good in their road games either, going 24-31 in those. The Jays just traded away quite a few players at the trade deadline so this is not really a team that is making a playoff push. The Yankees haven't looked great in their games lately, but they are starting to get hot again as they are coming off a series sweep against the Phillies, sweeping one of the best teams in the MLB. They are going to have a ton of momentum from that series and they will have Stroman on the mound here who hasn't looked bad this season. Stroman is 7-5 with a 3.64 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts all year. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but that has been on the higher end of his starts lately, and the team has been finding success with him as they have won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Blue Jays are going with Gausman in this one and he is 9-8 with a 4.44 ERA. He hasn't been terrible this season, also giving up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he has been a lot less consistent than Stroman has been this year. The team has won 3 games in a row with him starting, but he still has 8 losses on the season and the Jays don't have a strong offense either. Everything is pointing to the Yankees in this game with them getting hot now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Blue Jays Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 2, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Blue Jays 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Toronto Blue Jays: 7-7 (+1.45 units) on the moneyline in their last 14 away games. 22-12 (+7 units) on the runline in their last 34 away games. 36-18 to the over in their last 54 games. 

New York Yankees: 16-24 (-18.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 40 games. 14-26 (-20.55 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 40 games. 35-16 to the over in their last 51 games. 

Key Injuries


Toronto Blue Jays:  A. Kirk (C) Que Fri - Elbow. D. Varsho (LF) Ques Fri - Illness. J. Romano (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Bichette (SS) Out indefinitely - Leg. O. Martinez (SS) Late Sep - Suspension. A. Manoah (SP) out of season - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  G. Cole (SP) Que Fri - Fatigue. J. Trevino (C) Late July - Quadricep. L. Trivino (RP) Late July - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“We saw him in spring. I think he hit a couple homers off us in spring too. I know it hasn't started exactly how he wanted, but he's (the) No. 1 prospect for a reason.” - John Schneider after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Wednesday.


“We know we're good and when we play well, we know we can beat anyone.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Toronto Blue Jays
G Springer (R) RF
J Loperfido (L) LF
V Guerrero Jr. (R) DH
S Horwitz (L) 1B
E Clement (R) SS
D Varsho (L) CF
D Schneider (R) 2B
A Barger (L) 3B
B Serven (R) C

New York Yankees
G Torres (R) 2B
J Soto (L) RF
A Judge (R) CF
G Stanton (R) DH
J Chisholm Jr. (L) 3B
A Volpe (R) SS
A Verdugo (L) LF
D LeMahieu (R) 1B
C Narvaez (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Orelvis Martinez (.333)
Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (130)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (21)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (70)
Stolen Bases:  George Springer (13)
Wins:  José Berríos (9)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)
ERA:  Chad Green (1.67)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (122)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (39)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (99)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (19)
Wins:  Carlos Rodón (11)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (22)
ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (3rd season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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