Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/12/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 11, 2024
Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 12, 2024
Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 
Where to Watch:  BSWI


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -105, Brewers -115; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -105, Brewers -115; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -105, Brewers -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  32-34 (4th place, AL East)
Milwaukee Brewers:  39-27 (1st place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10



Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Analysis


The Blue Jays are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-34 record overall and have a road record of 16-19. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Blue Jays lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .676 OPS. Yusei Kikuchi is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Chris Bassitt is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-6 with a 3.80 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 8 IP against the Oakland Athletics.

The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-27 record overall and have a home record of 19-10. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Brewers won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Carlos Rodriguez is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Tobias Myers is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 5 strikeouts on 1 hit through 8 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.


Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 39-27 record overall which has them leading the NL Central. They have also looked great in their ballpark this year with their 19-10 home record. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays haven't looked good at all in their games this season with their 32-34 record overall which has them well out of the race for the AL East. They haven't looked good in their road games either with their 16-19 road record, but this team also looks to be taking a big step backwards this season. Their opponents have done nothing but charge forward this year under their new manager, and it has definitely paid off since they have one of the best offenses in the MLB right now. They are going to have Myers starting in this game and he has been a solid starter for them this year with his 2-2 record and his 4.15 ERA. He is coming off a great start which he gave up no runs in and the team has been finding a lot of success with him on the mound too. The Jays are going to have Bassitt in this game and he has been a lot better lately with his 6-6 record and his 3.80 ERA, giving up just 1 earned run in his last start too, but he has been blown up a few times already this season and he has that volatility which is going to be trouble against an offense like the Brewers have. Bassitt has also struggled more in road games this season so the Brewers can take advantage of this pitching matchup against the Jays. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game. 

Blue Jays Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 12, 2024 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 5 Blue Jays 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Toronto Blue Jays: 32-34 (-7.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 13-19 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 102-90 (-20.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 34-28 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150. CHRIS BASSITT is 17-8 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Milwaukee Brewers: 39-27 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 19-10 (+8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 20-9 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 12-6 OVER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 19-9 OVER in an inter-league game. 31-19 OVER against right-handed starters.

Key Injuries


Toronto Blue Jays:  J. Romano (RP) Late June - Elbow. A. Manoah (SP) out of season - Elbow. Y. Rodriguez (SP) Out indefinitely - Spine.

Milwaukee Brewers:  B. Woodruff (SP) out for season - Shoulder. D. Williams (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Ross (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. G. Mitchell (CF) Early June - Hand. W. Miley (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Junis (SP) Early June - Shoulder. R. Gasser (SP) Late June - Elbow. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. D. Hall (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Uribe (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“He has a lot of pitches. He was mixing the pitches very well. You've got to give that to him. ... He was locating.” - Alejandro Kirk on Colin Rea after their loss against the Brewers in their game on Monday.


“It didn’t affect his defense or his leadership. It’s a testament to him. I’ve seen him hit that same home run 20 times since I've been here. Slider kind of down in the zone, right in that same spot.” - Pat Murphy on Willy Adames after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Toronto Blue Jays
Davis Schneider (R) LF
Spencer Horwitz (L) 2B
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
George Springer (R) RF
Daulton Varsho (L) CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) 3B
Alejandro Kirk (R) C

Milwaukee Brewers
Brice Turang (L) 2B
William Contreras (R) C
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Willy Adames (R) SS
Rhys Hoskins (R) DH
Sal Frelick (L) CF
Joey Ortiz (R) 3B
Jake Bauers (L) 1B
Jackson Chourio (R) RF

Statistical Leaders


Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Spencer Horwitz (.300)
Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (73)
Home Runs:  Daulton Varsho (10)
RBI:  Daulton Varsho (31)
Stolen Bases:  George Springer (8)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (6)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)
ERA:  Chad Green (2.03)

Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Christian Yelich (.315)
Hits:  William Contreras (81)
Home Runs:  Rhys Hoskins (10)
RBI:  William Contreras (46)
Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (23)
Wins:  Jared Koenig (6)
Saves:  Trevor Megill (10)
ERA:  Enoli Paredes (0.00)

Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (3rd season)
Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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