by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 31, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 2, 2024
Venue: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: TTU +13, ISU -13; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: TTU +13, ISU -13; Over/Under: 56 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: TTU +13.5, ISU -13.5; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Season Record
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 5-3 (3-2) (5th place, Big 12)
Iowa State Cyclones: 7-0 (4-0) (2nd place, Big 12)
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Recent Form
Texas Tech Red Raiders: lost their last game on the road against the TCU Horned Frogs 35-34.
Iowa State Cyclones: won their last game at home against the Central Florida Knights 38-35.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Iowa State Cyclones Preview and Analysis
Texas Tech is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against TCU 35-34. Behren Morton was the starting QB and he completed 13/22 passes for 137 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions before getting replaced by Will Hammond who completed 10/15 passes for 121 yards and 1 TD. Tahj Brooks led the team in rushing yards with 121 and 1 TD. Caleb Douglas led the receivers with 140 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Bralyn Lux led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Harvey Dyson III led the defense in sacks with 1. Chapman Lewis and CJ Baskerville each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Iowa State is entering this game with a 7-0 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against UCF 38-35. Rocco Becht was the starting QB and he completed 20/46 passes for 274 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Rocco Becht led the team in rushing yards with 97 and 2 TDs. Jaylin Noel led the receivers with 153 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Rylan Barnes led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Beau Freyler and Jontez Williams each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Texas Tech vs Iowa State Prediction
The current betting odds have Iowa State listed as a 13 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Iowa State has looked great in their games this season with their 7-0 record overall and their 4-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12 and ranked inside the top 25. They have looked great in their home games with their 4-0 home record and they have been rolling over a lot of teams lately too. They are coming off a close win in their last one which they needed to make a comeback in, but now they are coming out of their bye week and have had some extra time to prepare for this game. Meanwhile, Texas Tech has looked good in their games this season with their 5-3 record overall, but they are 3-2 in the Big 12 which pretty much has them out of the conference race. They haven't looked as good in their road games either, going 1-2 in those this season. They are also coming off a 1 point loss to TCU in their last one and that was a game they struggled in, even though TCU hasn't looked great this season. Iowa State had their scare at home against UCF in their last one, but that bye week came at the perfect time for them as they have been able to regroup and they will come out with a better effort here right from the start. Texas Tech hasn't been great on defense this season so they are going to give up points and Iowa State has looked a lot better on defense all season. The best way to place a bet here is on Iowa State to cover the spread in this game.
Texas Tech Iowa State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 2, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Iowa State 33 Texas Tech 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 8-1 ATS off a road loss. 6-0 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival. 10-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 10-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 9-5 UNDER in road lined games. 5-1 UNDER in games played on a grass field. 3-0 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 yards/game or less.
Iowa State Cyclones: 5-10 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 5-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 6-11 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 11-6 UNDER in home lined games. 6-3 UNDER off a home win. 11-5 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.
Key Injuries
Texas Tech Red Raiders: D. Shaw (OL) Questionable - Hand. J. Wilcox (DB) Questionable - Knee. M. Ramon-Edwards (DB) Questionable - Head. B. Ramirez (LB) Questionable - Leg. E. Banks (DL) Out - Leg. D. McCray (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Valdez (RB) Out - Knee. J. Adedire (OLB) Out - Knee. D. Spencer (OLB) Out - Knee. V. Sciury (OL) Out - Leg.
Iowa State Cyclones: B. Brahmer (TE) Questionable - Leg. C. Bacon (LB) Questionable - Leg. D. Surges (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Jackson (WR) Out - Leg.
Notable Quotes
“On that play, you see the fumble. ... You’ve got to see definitive recovery. From our point of view, our tablets, everything like that, you couldn’t see a definitive recovery ... we felt like Will had the ball, and we’re going to the next play.” - Joey McGuire after his team’s loss against TCU in their last game.
“They've got great players with two phenomenal athletes. This was the most athletically talented team we've played this year.” - Matt Campbell after his team’s win against UCF in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Texas Tech Red Raiders
WR Eakin, Coy
WR Kelly, Josh
WR Douglas, Caleb
WR McCray, Drae
TE Tharp, Mason
QB Morton, Behren
RB Brooks, Tahj
Iowa State Cyclones
WR Higgins, Jayden
WR Ngoyi, Beni
WR Noel, Jaylin
TE Brahmer, Benjamin
TE Klotz, Stevo
QB Becht, Rocco
RB Sama III, Abu
Statistical Leaders
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Passing: B. Morton (2063)
Rushing: T. Brooks (925)
Receiving: J. Kelly (609)
Touchdowns: T. Brooks (9)
Iowa State Cyclones
Passing: R. Becht (1712)
Rushing: C. Hansen (398)
Receiving: J. Noel (681)
Touchdowns: C. Hansen (7)
Coaches:
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Joey McGuire (3rd season)
Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
