Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Florida Gators Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/29/2025

Game Time: 6:09 pm ET, Saturday, March 29, 2025

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA 

Where to Watch:  TBS, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +6.5, Florida -6.5; Over/Under:  156.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +6.5, Florida -6.5; Over/Under:  156.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +6.5, Florida -6.5; Over/Under:  156.5 points

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  28-8 (15-5) (2nd place, Big 12)

Florida Gators:  33-4 (14-4) (2nd place, SEC)

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Texas Tech Red Raiders:  4-1  last 5

Florida Gators:  5-0  last 5

Texas Tech is entering this game with a 28-8 record overall, a 15-5 record in conference games, and they are 5-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game. Christian Anderson led the team in points in that game with 22 while Darrion Williams and JT Toppin each were next on the team with 20. Elijah Hawkins led the team in assists with 5 in that game while JT Toppin led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 41% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68 PPG against them. Texas Tech has an ATS record of 18-18 this season and their O/U record is 21-14-1.

Florida is entering this game with a 33-4 record overall, a 14-4 conference record, and they are 11-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Maryland Terrapins in their last game. Will Richard led the team in points in that game with 15 while Alijah Martin was next on the team with 14. Walter Clayton Jr. and Thomas Haugh each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Thomas Haugh led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50% from the field, 39.3% from 3-point range, and 76.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.4 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 27-10 this season and their O/U record is 20-17.

The current betting odds have Florida listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has looked great in their games this season with their 33-4 record overall and their 14-4 conference record which had them right near the top of the SEC. They have also been great in these neutral site games as they are 11-0 this season. Meanwhile, Texas Tech has looked really good in their games this season with their 28-8 record overall and their 15-5 conference record which had them right near the top of the Big 12. They haven't been great in neutral site games this season though, going 5-3 in those, and it showed in the Sweet 16. They are coming off a 2 point win over Arkansas in OT, but they were trailing for a majority of that game. They were down 16 points with a little over 10 minutes left, but they were able to come back and force OT, eventually winning the game. As good as they were to come back and win that game, they showed a lot of weaknesses getting behind that much for that long against a team like Arkansas. Florida has a lot more talent on their side as they have been ranked like one of the best teams in the nation for most of the season, and they showed it in their last game. They looked great in their first game of this tournament and hit a snag when they played UConn, trailing for a lot of that game and needing to come back very late to beat the defending champions, but they bounced back with a much better performance in their last one as they beat Maryland by double digits in the Sweet 16 and were in complete control of that entire game. Florida has been rolling lately as they also won the SEC Tournament before this, and they are focused on winning the National Championship as they know they have one of the best teams left in this tournament. Texas Tech has been good, but they haven't been at their best in this tournament and Florida can take advantage of that with the talent they have. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Tech Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 29, 2025 (6:09 pm ET start time) is Florida 88 Texas Tech 78.

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Texas Tech Red Raiders: 6-14 ATS in all neutral court games. 4-13 ATS in all tournament games. 19-27 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less. 15-6 OVER in all neutral court games. 29-13 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 34-17 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.

Florida Gators: 25-16 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 27-18 ATS after scoring 85 points or more. 28-15 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 20-8 OVER in all neutral court games. 11-5 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 159.5. 20-4 OVER after 3 or more consecutive overs.

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  C. McMillian (G) Questionable - Upper Body. E. Yalaho (F) Questionable - Upper Body. J. Henderson (G) Out - Lower Body.

Florida Gators:  A. Condon (F) Questionable - Leg. O. Rioux (C) Out - Redshirt.

"The heart of the team is Darrion Williams, and he's just a resilient guy. I mean I can't even explain it. I put faith in him because I do believe that he'll find a way in one-game scenarios to do whatever it takes to win. I honestly do. Whatever it takes." - Grant McCasland after his team’s win against Arkansas in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA tournament.

“It’s surreal, to be honest. The thing that I keep kind of going back to, selfishly, personally, I just don’t want it to end. We have a uniquely tight group. It’s been an amazing run.” - Todd Golden after his team’s win against Maryland in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament.

E. Hawkins 

C. McMillian 

J. Toppin 

K. Walton 

D. Williams

R. Chinyelu 

W. Clayton 

A. Condon 

A. Martin 

W. Richard

PPG: J. Toppin (18.1)

APG: E. Hawkins (6.4)

Reb/G: J. Toppin (9.2)

PPG: W. Clayton (17.5)

APG: W. Clayton (4.3)

Reb/G: A. Condon (7.9)

Coaches:

Texas Tech Red Raiders: Grant McCasland (2nd season)

Florida Gators: Todd Golden (3rd season)