Texas Longhorns vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/01/2025

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Wednesday, January 1, 2025

Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas -12.5, ASU +12.5; Over/Under:  51 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas -12, ASU +12; Over/Under:  51 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas -12.5, ASU +12.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Texas Longhorns:  12-2 (7-1) (1st place, SEC)

Arizona State Sun Devils:  11-2 (7-2) (1st place, Big 12)

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Texas Longhorns:  won their last game at home against the Clemson Tigers 38-24.

Arizona State Sun Devils:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Iowa State Cyclones 45-19.

Texas is entering this game with a 12-2 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 7-1 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Clemson 38-24. Quinn Ewers was the starting QB and he completed 17/24 passes for 202 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jaydon Blue led the team in rushing yards with 146 and 2 TDs. Gunnar Helm led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Anthony Hill Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Ethan Burke, Bill Norton, and Barryn Sorrell each led the defense in sacks with 1. Colin Simmons came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Arizona State is entering this game with an 11-2 record overall and they have a 7-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Iowa State 45-19. Sam Leavitt was the starting QB and he completed 12/17 passes for 219 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Cameron Skattebo led the team in rushing yards with 170 and 2 TDs. Melquan Stovall led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Javan Robinson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Keith Abney came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas has looked really good in their games this season with their 12-2 record overall and their 7-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC. They had the best record in the SEC this year with it being their first season in the conference, but they still lost to Georgia in the SEC Championship. Georgia was both of their losses this year, but they looked really good against Clemson in the first round of the playoffs. Meanwhile, Arizona State has looked really good in their games this season with their 11-2 record overall and their 7-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They went to the Big 12 Championship and crushed Iowa State in it 45-19, but they still don't have the talent that Texas has on their team. Arizona State has been really hot to end the regular season, but they did have a bye in the first round of the playoffs and haven't had an opportunity to play a team like this. The long time off could lead to a slower start here, and they can't afford to have a slow start against a team like Texas. They really haven't faced a defense like this one in the Big 12 and Texas has shown in many games this year that they can put up a ton of points when they need to. Arizona State may have had a first round bye, but this game will be more like the games in the first round. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Arizona State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Wednesday, January 1, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texas 42 Arizona State 17.

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Texas Longhorns: 4-9 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 0-2 ATS in a bowl game. 7-4 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 5-2 1H OVER after a bye week. 4-1 1H OVER against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better.

Arizona State Sun Devils: 8-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 7-4 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 4-0 ATS after a bye week. 6-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 8-3 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 9-5 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att.

Texas Longhorns:  C. Williams (OL) Questionable - Knee. Q. Wisner (RB) Probable - Knee. D. Williams (DB) Out - Lower Body. V. Gardner (RB) Out - Undisclosed. T. Owens (QB) Out - Lower Body. C. Clark (RB) Out - Achilles. C. Baxter (RB) Out - Knee.

Arizona State Sun Devils:  C. Martin (DB) Out - Hip. J. Tyson (WR) Out - Undisclosed. J. Fortier (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Sample (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Brown (RB) Out - Redshirt.

“We were definitely sharing words back and forth, that was fun. He’s a great guy, he had a great game.” - Michael Taaffe after their win against Clemson in their last game. 

“Last year, they left a team out because of a quarterback (then-undefeated Florida State). We’re 11-1 with our starting quarterback, having beat four ranked teams and we won the Big 12 championship. We made a standard that the quarterback is that valuable. I definitely think we should host a game.” - Kenny Dillingham after his team’s win against ISU in the Big 12 Championship.

WR Bond, Isaiah

WR Golden, Matthew

WR Moore Jr., DeAndre 

TE Helm, Gunnar 

QB Ewers, Quinn

RB Wisner, Quintrevion

WR Guillory, Xavier 

WR Omeire, Troy

WR Stovall, Melquan

TE Metayer, Chamon

QB Leavitt, Sam

RB Skattebo, Cam 

Passing: Q. Ewers (2867)

Rushing: Q. Wisner (973)

Receiving: M. Golden (787)

Touchdowns: J. Blue (12)

Passing: S. Leavitt (2663)

Rushing: C. Skattebo (1568)

Receiving: J. Tyson (1101)

Touchdowns: C. Skattebo (22)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (4th season)

Arizona State Sun Devils: Kenny Dillingham (2nd season)