by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 17, 2024
Game Time: 4:15 pm ET, Saturday, October 19, 2024
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium, Mississippi State, MS
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Texas A&M -17, MS State +17; Over/Under: 56 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texas A&M -17, MS State +17; Over/Under: 56 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texas A&M -16.5, MS State +16.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Season Record
Texas A&M Aggies: 5-1 (3-0) (3rd place, SEC)
Mississippi State Bulldogs: 1-5 (0-3) (16th place, SEC)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Big Al McMordie is on a HOT STREAK in college football on a 27-10 CFB RUN for +$16,040 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Texas A&M Aggies: won their last game at home against the Missouri Tigers 41-10.
Mississippi State Bulldogs: lost their last game on the road against the Georgia Bulldogs 41-31.
Texas A&M Aggies vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview and Analysis
Texas A&M is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Missouri 41-10. Conner Weigman was the starting QB and he completed 18/22 passes for 276 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Le'Veon Moss led the team in rushing yards with 138 and 3 TDs. Terry Bussey led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Dalton Brooks led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Nic Scourton led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Mississippi State is entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their conference games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia 41-31. Michael Van Buren Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 20/37 passes for 306 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Davon Booth led the team in rushing yards with 32. Kevin Coleman Jr. led the receivers with 103 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Stone Blanton led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Brice Pollock and DeAgo Brumfield each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Texas A&M vs Mississippi State Prediction
The current betting odds have Texas A&M listed as a 17 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas A&M has looked really good in their games this season with their 5-1 record overall and their 3-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They lost their season opener at home to Notre Dame, but they have won 5 games in a row now and have been rolling under Mike Elko in his 1st season coaching the team. They are also coming out of their bye week so they have had extra time to prepare for this game. Meanwhile, Mississippi State has looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-5 record overall and their 0-3 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They looked better in their game last week, losing by 10 points on the road against Georgia and putting up 31 points in that one, but they lost their other 2 SEC games against Texas and Florida by 17 or more points in each. They will be at home for this one, but they are coming off a tough loss to Georgia last week in a game where they put up a good fight and it will be tough for them to bring their best effort here after that one. Texas A&M has been rolling in their games lately and with the extra rest for this game, they will be looking to stay ahead in the SEC with another big win. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas A&M to cover the spread in this game.
Texas A&M Mississippi State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 19, 2024 (4:15 pm ET start time) is Texas A&M 45 MS State 24.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Texas A&M Aggies Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
Texas A&M Aggies: 12-7 1H ATS against conference opponents. 7-4 1H ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 6-3 OVER in road lined games. 6-2 1H OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 4-1 1H OVER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att.
Mississippi State Bulldogs: 4-10 ATS as an underdog. 0-5 ATS as a home underdog. 6-12 ATS against conference opponents. 3-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 14-4 OVER in home lined games. 6-1 OVER in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 11-3 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 6-1 OVER after allowing 37 points or more last game.
Key Injuries
Texas A&M Aggies: T. Jones (DB) Out - Undisclosed. T. Chappell (DB) Out - Undisclosed. C. Weigman (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Williams (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Nabou (OL) Out - Knee. R. Owens (RB) Out - Lower Body.
Mississippi State Bulldogs: S. Davis (RB) Out - Knee. J. Harrell (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“We are in a growth mindset... we are trying to grow every single day. We didn’t flinch when we didn’t get the job done against Notre Dame.” - Mike Elko after his team’s win against Mizzou in their last game.
“Our guys responded. I hate that we’re sitting here disappointed, frustrated that we’re not on the right side of it, but our guys are continuing to fight like heck for each other and I’m proud of them for that.” - Jeff Lebby after his team’s loss against Georgia in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Texas A&M Aggies
WR Thomas, Noah
WR Allen, Cyrus
WR Barber, Jabre
TE Watson, Tre
QB Weigman, Conner
RB Moss, Le'Veon
Mississippi State Bulldogs
WR Mosley, Jordan
WR Hudson, Trent
WR Coleman, Kevin
TE Traore, Seydou
QB Shapen, Blake
RB Lee, Keyvone
Statistical Leaders
Texas A&M Aggies
Passing: M. Reed (585)
Rushing: L. Moss (609)
Receiving: N. Thomas (252)
Touchdowns: L. Moss (6)
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Passing: B. Shapen (974)
Rushing: J. Daniels (262)
Receiving: K. Coleman (447)
Touchdowns: D. Booth (4)
Coaches:
Texas A&M Aggies: Mike Elko (1st season)
Mississippi State Bulldogs: Jeff Lebby (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
