Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/30/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Monday, September 30, 2024

Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Titans +1, Dolphins -1; Over/Under:  36.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Titans +1, Dolphins -1; Over/Under:  36.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Titans +1, Dolphins -1; Over/Under:  36.5 points

Tennessee Titans:  0-3 (4th place, AFC South)

Miami Dolphins:  1-2 (3rd place, AFC East)

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Tennessee Titans:  lost their last game at home against the Green Bay Packers 30-14.

Miami Dolphins:  lost their last game on the road against the Seattle Seahawks 24-3.

The Titans are entering this game with a 0-3 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Green Bay Packers 30-14. Will Levis was the starting QB and he completed 26/34 passes for 260 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing yards with 14. DeAndre Hopkins led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Ernest Jones IV led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Kenneth Murray Jr. led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Dolphins are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 24-3. Skylar Thompson was the starting QB and he completed 13/19 passes for 107 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions before getting replaced by Tim Boyle who completed 7/13 passes for 79 yards. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 30. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 40 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Jordan Poyer led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Da'Shawn Hand, Zach Sieler, and Calais Campbell each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kader Kohou and Zach Sieler each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins haven't looked good in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. They won their season opener against the Jaguars, but they have lost 2 games in a row since then, even losing their starting QB to injury. The QB situation is still questionable in Miami, but they do have a lot of talented players on this offense and that should help whichever QB is going to be starting in this game. Meanwhile, the Titans have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-3 record overall. The Titans have been in winning positions in a majority of their games this year, and they still lost all 3 games by a touchdown or more. The defense has kept them in games, but they can only do so much themselves. At some point, this offense has to show up and stop making mistakes. Scoring hasn't been the issue for this offense, it has been protecting the ball as they continue to make bad turnovers which have cost them some games. The offense is going to continue to make mistakes as Will Levis is really struggling and that will leave the door open for the Dolphins to win even if they are behind in the game. The talent on the Dolphins team along with the home advantage should be enough to give them the edge here against a team that continues to find ways to lose games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game. 

Titans Dolphins Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Monday, September 30, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 20 Titans 16.

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Tennessee Titans: 4-7 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 2-7 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 2-5 ATS off a home loss. 5-0 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 13-5 UNDER in road games. 5-0 UNDER vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season.

Miami Dolphins: 6-3 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 4-1 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 14-5 UNDER in home games. 11-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 6-3 UNDER off a road loss.

Tennessee Titans:  D. Hopkins (WR) Injured - NIR - Rest. C. Awuzie (CB) Injured - Groin. A. Hooker (SAF) Injured - Face. L. Sneed (CB) Injured - NIR - Rest. J. Simmons (DT) Injured - Elbow.

Miami Dolphins:  C. Campbell (DT) Injured - Rest. T. Armstead (T) Injured - Concussion. K. Fuller (CB) Injured - Concussion. R. Mostert (RB) Injured - Chest. S. Neal (CB) Injured - Hamstring. S. Thompson (QB) Injured - Ribs. J. Phillips (LB) Injured - Achilles. D. Long (LB) Injured - Hamstring. A. Ingold (FB) Injured - Shoulder. S. Duck (CB) Injured - Shoulder. M. Washington (WR) Injured - Quadricep.

“It’s embarrassing and disappointing. I’ve got to be a lot better than I’ve been, and this is frustrating and unfortunate and not what I thought we were capable of to start the season.” - Brian Callahan after his team’s loss against the Packers in their last game. 

“You have to look at everything and you have to find a way to give your team the best chance to win. I think in 2022, this was something that happened to us as well and ultimately the rest of the league does not care, nor should they. So, we have to find a way to get better collectively.” - Mike McDaniel after his team’s loss against the Seahawks in their last game. 

WR Hopkins, Deandre

WR Ridley, Calvin 

WR Boyd, Tyler 

TE Okonkwo, Chig 

QB Levis, Will 

RB Pollard, Tony 

WR Waddle, Jaylen 

WR Hill, Tyreek 

WR Berrios, Braxton 

TE Smith, Jonnu

QB Boyle, Tim

RB Achane, De'Von 

FB Ingold, Alec

Passing: W. Levis (579)

Rushing: T. Pollard (158)

Receiving: C. Ridley (136)

Touchdowns: C. Ridley (2)

Passing: T. Tagovailoa (483)

Rushing: D. Achane (150)

Receiving: T. Hill (194)

Touchdowns: D. Achane (2)

Coaches:

Tennessee Titans: Brian Callahan (1st season)

Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (3rd season)