by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Dec 18, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 22, 2024
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Titans +3.5, Colts -3.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Titans +3.5, Colts -3.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Titans +3.5, Colts -3.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Season Record
Tennessee Titans: 3-11 (4th place, AFC South)
Indianapolis Colts: 6-8 (2nd place, AFC South)
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Tennessee Titans: lost their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bengals 37-27.
Indianapolis Colts: lost their last game on the road against the Denver Broncos 31-13.
Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts Preview and Analysis
The Titans are entering this game with a 3-11 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-6 in their home games, 2-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 37-27. Will Levis was the starting QB and he completed 8/12 passes for 89 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions before getting replaced by Mason Rudolph who completed 21/26 passes for 209 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 INT. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing yards with 45 and 1 TD. Tyjae Spears led the receivers with 87 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. James Williams led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Harold Landry III led the defense in sacks with 1. Luke Gifford and Daryl Worley each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Colts are entering this game with a 6-8 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 3-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 31-13. Anthony Richardson was the starting QB and he completed 17/38 passes for 172 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 107. Michael Pittman Jr. led the receivers with 58 receiving yards on 6 receptions. E. J. Speed led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while DeForest Buckner led the defense in sacks with 1. Zaire Franklin, Nick Cross, and Samuel Womack III each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Titans vs Colts Prediction
The current betting odds have the Titans listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Titans have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-11 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC South with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. They are coming off a 37-27 loss to the Bengals last week, but they did come out strong in that game and showed a lot of fight even when they were down big. Will Levis looked terrible, but Mason Rudolph had a much better day when he was thrown in and he can keep this game close. Meanwhile, the Colts haven't looked good in their games this season with their 6-8 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AFC South, but they needed to beat the Broncos last week and that loss pretty much ended their season. They don't have a good chance to make the playoffs now and that was a tough loss to the Broncos too, having a chance to go up 20-7 in that game but making a huge mistake which allowed the Broncos to come storming back. The offense hasn't looked great with Richardson either as he struggles to throw the ball. The Titans were able to go toe-to-toe with the Bengals for a bit last week, putting up 27 points in the game, and their defense hasn't looked that bad in a lot of their games this season. This is going to be a tight divisional game with 2 bad offenses and the Titans will bring their best effort for the Colts who just had their playoff hopes almost completely shot down with their loss last week. The best way to place a bet here is on the Titans to cover the spread in this game.
Titans Colts Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 22, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Titans 20 Colts 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Tennessee Titans: 18-28 ATS in all games. 4-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 3-9 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 29-19 UNDER in all games. 9-5 UNDER as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 6-0 UNDER revenging a home loss against an opponent.
Indianapolis Colts: 7-3 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 6-3 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 5-2 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%). 29-19 1H UNDER in all games. 10-4 1H UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 16-7 1H UNDER after playing their last game on the road.
Key Injuries
Tennessee Titans: J. Latham (OT) Injured - Hip. T. Boyd (WR) Injured - Foot. N. Folk (K) Injured - Groin. J. Baker (LB) Injured - Neck. T. Pollard (RB) Questionable - Ankle. L. Gifford (LB) Injured - Calf. J. Simmons (DT) Injured - Rest. K. Murray (LB) Injured - Hamstring. R. McCreary (CB) Questionable - Shoulder. O. Reese (LB) Questionable - Ankle. J. Duncan (OL) Questionable - Hamstring. W. Levis (QB) Injured - Shoulder. P. Skoronski (OL) Injured - Ankle. T. Sweat (NT) Injured - Shoulder.
Indianapolis Colts: T. Lewis (DE) Questionable - Ribs. R. Kelly (C) Out - Knee. J. Carlies (LB) Out - Fibula. T. Bortolini (G) Injured - Concussion. M. Pittman (WR) Injured - Back. A. Dulin (WR) Out - Ankle. J. Downs (WR) Questionable - Shoulder. D. Buckner (DT) Injured - Back. B. Smith (T) Out - NIR - Personal.
Notable Quotes
“If you can’t stop them on third down and you turn the ball over six times, it’s going to be tough to win.” - Brian Callahan after his team’s loss against the Bengals in their last game.
“That was a game changer, yeah, absolutely. Obviously, it hurt us, but he’s one of our leaders. Sometimes that happens in football, but he’s our guy, and that’s what you say to him.” - Shane Steichen after his team’s loss against the Broncos in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Tennessee Titans
WR Ridley, Calvin
WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick
WR Boyd, Tyler
TE Okonkwo, Chig
QB Rudolph, Mason
RB Pollard, Tony
Indianapolis Colts
WR Mitchell, Adonai
WR Pittman Jr., Michael
WR Downs, Josh
TE Alie-Cox, Mo
QB Richardson, Anthony
RB Taylor, Jonathan
Statistical Leaders
Tennessee Titans
Passing: W. Levis (1916)
Rushing: T. Pollard (982)
Receiving: C. Ridley (779)
Touchdowns: N. Westbrook-Ikhine (8)
Indianapolis Colts
Passing: A. Richardson (1683)
Rushing: J. Taylor (911)
Receiving: A. Pierce (645)
Touchdowns: J. Taylor (6)
Coaches:
Tennessee Titans: Brian Callahan (1st season)
Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
