by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 16, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 20, 2024
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Titans +9, Bills -9; Over/Under: 41 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Titans +9, Bills -9; Over/Under: 41 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Titans +9, Bills -9; Over/Under: 41 points
Season Record
Tennessee Titans: 1-4 (3rd place, AFC South)
Buffalo Bills: 4-2 (1st place, AFC East)
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Tennessee Titans: lost their last game at home against the Indianapolis Colts 20-17.
Buffalo Bills: won their last game on the road against the New York Jets 23-20.
Tennessee Titans vs Buffalo Bills Preview and Analysis
The Titans are entering this game with a 1-4 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 20-17. Will Levis was the starting QB and he completed 16/27 passes for 95 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing yards with 93 and 1 TD. DeAndre Hopkins led the receivers with 54 receiving yards on 4 receptions. L'Jarius Sneed led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Amani Hooker came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Bills are entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 23-20. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 19/25 passes for 215 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ray Davis led the team in rushing yards with 97. Ray Davis led the receivers with 55 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Damar Hamlin led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while A.J. Epenesa led the defense in sacks with 2. Taron Johnson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Titans vs Bills Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bills listed as a 9 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bills have looked really good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall. They started the season 3-0 and hit a little snag, but they bounced back in their last game with a big divisional win and they will be looking to string some wins together now that they are back at home after a long road trip. They are 2-0 in their home games this season and the defense has looked good which will help them in this game. Meanwhile, the Titans have looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-4 record overall. They just came out of their bye week and lost another game at home, now they are going on the road to face a much stronger team than some of the ones they have been facing. Their only win this season was against a really banged up Dolphins team and Will Levis has been turning the ball over a ton in this new offense. The defense has actually looked good for the Titans this season, but they are only going to be able to do so much in this game with the offense not performing. The Bills have looked good on defense themselves so they won't have too much trouble stopping this Titans offense, and the Bills offense at home will eventually be too much for the Titans to handle, allowing the Bills to pull away in a blow out here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bills to cover the spread in this game.
Titans Bills Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 20, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bills 41 Titans 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Tennessee Titans: 3-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 3-6 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 5-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 25-13 UNDER in all games. 13-6 UNDER in road games. 7-1 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 10-2 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.
Buffalo Bills: 8-4 ATS off a road win. 3-1 ATS after a 2 game road trip. 14-7 1H ATS in home games. 14-6 1H ATS after playing their last game on the road. 26-18 UNDER in all games. 8-3 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points. 4-1 UNDER versus poor offensive teams - averaging 285 yards/game or less.
Key Injuries
Tennessee Titans: D. Hopkins (WR) Injured - Rest. J. Adams (SS) Out - Hip. L. Sneed (CB) Injured - Rest. J. Simmons (DT) Injured - Elbow. W. Levis (QB) Injured - Shoulder. E. Jones (LB) Injured - Elbow. K. Coburn (DL) Out - Knee. T. Burks (WR) Injured - Personal. C. Gray (LB) Out - Shoulder.
Buffalo Bills: R. Ferguson (LS) Injured - Elbow. C. Samuel (WR) Injured - Toe. A. Johnson (DT) Questionable - Oblique. D. Jones (DT) Injured - Shoulder. M. Hollins (WR) Injured - Shoulder. M. Trubisky (QB) Injured - Knee. J. Allen (QB) Injured - Hand. T. Johnson (CB) Questionable - Forarm. T. Bernard (LB) Injured - Pectoral. Q. Morris (TE) Injured - Shoulder. E. Oliver (DT) Out - Hamstring. T. Rapp (SAF) Injured - Concussion. D. Evans (RB) Injured - Hamstring. K. Shakir (WR) Questionable - Ankle. J. Cook (RB) Questionable - Toe. J. Solomon (DE) Injured - Hip.
Notable Quotes
“We also aren’t making enough plays to win tight games, and we’ve got to find a way to do that. And I got to find a way to help us get there because right now, losing games in one-score games is tough.” - Brian Callahan after his team’s loss against the Colts in their last game.
“Fighting through adversity, getting in at halftime, regrouping, saying let’s just control one play at a time. We didn’t score as many points as I’d like in the second half, but found a way.” - Josh Allen after their win against the Jets in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Tennessee Titans
WR Hopkins, Deandre
WR Ridley, Calvin
WR Boyd, Tyler
TE Okonkwo, Chig
QB Levis, Will
RB Pollard, Tony
Buffalo Bills
WR Coleman, Keon
WR Cooper, Amari
WR Shakir, Khalil
TE Kincaid, Dalton
QB Allen, Josh
RB Davis, Ray
FB Gilliam, Reggie
Statistical Leaders
Tennessee Titans
Passing: W. Levis (699)
Rushing: T. Pollard (339)
Receiving: D. Hopkins (175)
Touchdowns: T. Pollard (3)
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (1160)
Rushing: J. Cook (309)
Receiving: K. Shakir (249)
Touchdowns: J. Cook (5)
Coaches:
Tennessee Titans: Brian Callahan (1st season)
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
