Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jul 18, 2024
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, July 19, 2024
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  BSSUN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +160, Yankees -192; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +160, Yankees -190; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +160, Yankees -190; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Tampa Bay Rays:  48-48 (4th place, AL East)
New York Yankees:  58-40 (2nd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rays:  5-5 last 10
New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10



Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Rays are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-48 record overall and have a road record of 21-21. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday and they have had 4 days off as rest with the MLB All-Star break. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .681 OPS. Ryan Pepiot was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Zach Eflin is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-6 with a 3.99 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the New York Yankees.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-40 record overall and have a home record of 25-19. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Rays on Friday and they have had 4 days off as rest with the MLB All-Star break. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Ben Rice was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.


Rays vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 58-40 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked good in their road games with their 25-19 road record. Meanwhile, the Rays haven't looked great in their games this season with their 48-48 record overall and they have struggled to stay above .500 this season. They haven't looked that great in their home games either, going 21-21 in those. The Yankees didn't look great going into the All-Star break with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games, but they managed to win their series against the Orioles and they are going to be motivated to come out of the break at home as they trail right behind Baltimore in the standings. They do have the better pitching matchup too with Cole on the mound in this one. Cole has only had a few starts this season coming back from an injury and he has struggled with his 2-1 record and his 5.40 ERA, but he struggled more in his first starts back, looking a lot better now. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and the team has won 3 games in a row with him starting as he is looking like the Yankees ace once again. Eflin is going to be on the mound for the Rays and he hasn't looked bad this season with his 5-6 record and his 3.99 ERA, but he will get himself into trouble here since the Yankees do have one of the best offenses in the MLB. The Rays don't have a great offense themselves so Cole won't struggle to shut them down here as he continues to get in his groove as a starter this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Rays Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 19, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Rays 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Tampa Bay Rays: 46-47 (-9.95 units) on the moneyline in their last 93 games. 25-54 (-25 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 79 games. 13-7 to the under in their last 20 games. 

New York Yankees: 40-32 (+13.20 units) on the runline in their last 72 games. 39-25 (+11.95 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 64 games. 17-9 to the under with their team total in their last 26 games.

Key Injuries


Tampa Bay Rays:  R. Lovelady (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Waguespack (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Franco (SS) Out indefinitely - Poss. Suspension. J. Springs (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. D. Rasmussen (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. S. McClanahan (SP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  J. Trevino (C) Late July - Quadricep. J. Davis (RP) Late July - Illness. L. Trivino (RP) Late July - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. G. Stanton (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) Out indefinitely - Arm. C. Schmidt (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. C. Poteet (SP) Early July - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“We’ve done some good things. We’ve done some things that aren’t so good. I like the way that we’ve played here the last month. Feel like we’re a better version of ourselves right now." - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the Guardians in their game on Sunday.


“I think he just misjudged it. Broke hard in, not wanting to get beat in front of him, and obviously it carried enough.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Tampa Bay Rays
Y Díaz (R) 1B
B Lowe (L) DH
R Arozarena (R) LF
I Paredes (R) 3B
J Lowe (L) RF
A Rosario (R) 2B
J Siri (R) CF
B Rortvedt (L) C
T Walls (S) SS

New York Yankees
B Rice (L) 1B
J Soto (L) RF
A Judge (R) DH
A Verdugo (L) LF
G Torres (R) 2B
A Wells (L) C
A Volpe (R) SS
T Grisham (L) CF
O Cabrera (S) 3B

Statistical Leaders


Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Amed Rosario (.308)
Hits:  Yandy Díaz (104)
Home Runs:  Isaac Paredes (15)
RBI:  Isaac Paredes (50)
Stolen Bases:  José Caballero (24)
Wins:  Ryan Pepiot (6)
Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (17)
ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.71)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (105)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (34)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (85)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)
Wins:  Luis Gil (10)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (21)
ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (10th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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