Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/21/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jan 16, 2024
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 21, 2024
Venue:  Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Where to Watch:  NBC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucs +7, Lions -7; Over/Under:  47 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucs +6, Lions -6; Over/Under:  48.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucs +6, Lions -6; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Season Record

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  9-8 (1st place, NFC South)
Detroit Lions:  12-5 (1st place, NFC North)

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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  won their last game at home against the Philadelphia Eagles 32-9.
Detroit Lions:  won their last game at home against the Los Angeles Rams 24-23.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Preview and Analysis


The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 9-8 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-4 in their home games, 5-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 32-9 in the NFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 22/36 passes for 337 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 72. Cade Otton led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Jamel Dean led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Greg Gaines and Joe Tryon-Shoyinka each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Lions are entering this game with a 12-5 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-2 in their home games, 6-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 24-23 in the NFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 22/27 passes for 277 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. David Montgomery led the team in rushing yards with 57 and 1 TD. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 110 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Alex Anzalone led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Aidan Hutchinson led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Buccaneers vs Lions Prediction

The current betting odds have the Lions listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lions have looked great in their games this season with their 12-5 record overall which won the NFC North and they also have one of the best records in the NFL this year. They have looked great in their home games with their 6-2 home record this season and they have a ton of momentum on their side after winning their 1st playoff game in over 30 years. They expelled a lot of demons with that win, especially Jared Goff beating the team that gave up on him, and they have looked almost unstoppable in their home stadium all season. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have also looked good in their games this season with their 9-8 record overall which won the NFC South. The Buccaneers also have a lot of momentum on their side as they were a team that was given up on when Tom Brady left yet here they are in the Divisional Round of the playoffs after a great home win against the Eagles last week. The key thing here is that win came at home and this is going to be a much tougher environment for the Bucs with the way the Lions have been playing at home all season. The Bucs have a solid team but as good as they have looked lately, they just don't have the offensive power that the Lions have and this game could easily get away from the Bucs if they fall behind early. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lions to cover the spread in this game. 

Buccaneers Lions Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 21, 2024 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Lions 34 Buccaneers 21.
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NFL Betting Trends


Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 3-6 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 0-7 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games. 12-6 UNDER in all games. 18-9 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 39-21 UNDER after allowing 9 points or less last game.

Detroit Lions: 35-17 ATS in all games. 13-7 ATS as a favorite. 12-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 11-5 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 10-5 UNDER after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game. 

Key Injuries


Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  R. Jarrett (WR) day-to-day - Quadricep. M. Greene (DL) day-to-day - Calf. R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee.

Detroit Lions:  K. Raymond (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Houston (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Jacobs (CB) I-R - Thigh. J. Mitchell (TE) I-R - Hand. H. Vaitai (G) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Daly (LS) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Moseley (CB) I-R - Knee. Z. Knight (RB) I-R - Shoulder. M. Nelson (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. N. Sudfeld (QB) I-R - Knee. S. Zylstra (TE) I-R - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“We were underdogs, we’re going to be underdogs next week, too. We understand that. We embrace it. We like it.” - Todd Bowles after his team’s win against the Eagles in their last game. 


“It means a whole lot to this city. We knew what it meant when this season started to get into the playoffs and then to get this win. And, you know, it’s just the beginning for us. We’ve got some run left.” - Jared Goff after their win against the LA Rams in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR Evans, Mike 
WR Godwin, Chris 
WR Palmer, Trey
TE Otton, Cade 
QB Mayfield, Baker 
RB White, Rachaad

Detroit Lions
WR Reynolds, Josh
WR Williams, Jameson 
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra 
TE LaPorta, Sam 
QB Goff, Jared 
RB Gibbs, Jahmyr 

Statistical Leaders


Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: B. Mayfield (4044)
Rushing: R. White (990)
Receiving: M. Evans (1255)
Touchdowns: M. Evans (13)

Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (4575)
Rushing: D. Montgomery (1015)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (1515)
Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (13)

Coaches:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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